One key market that has recently reached a technical turning point is the US 10 year bond yield. The expectation is for a further increase in yields to occur, with the minimum upside technical target located at 2.92%. As highlighted by the chart below, it had previously generated a technical... Show More
The Eurostoxx50 index originally generated a technical buy signal at 2885 on 11/7/16 which was identified as the technical turning point. This was followed by a secondary technical buy signal generated at 3029 on 9/8/16. The index has now completed a technical top formation / closed below key support which... Show More
The Nasdaq Composite index has completed a technical top formation / closed below key support which has generated a technical sell signal. The index technical outlook has turned negative. The minimum downside target is located at 5810. Show More
The Brent price originally generated a technical sell signal at US$53.06 on 8/3/17. This was identified as the (negative) technical turning point. The decline last night has resulted in further major support being broken which has generated a new technical sell signal. The downside technical price target is located at... Show More
The key European indices previously generated technical buy signals in a cluster in mid-July 2016, which identified the technical turning point in the region, and flagged Europe as a positive theme as detailed in a Wire at the time https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/technicals-key-european-index-buy-signals-generated. Show More
SPOT GOLD PRICE (US$1278) - a New York close above US$1290 if it occurs would target a rally to US$1340. The spot gold price originally generated a technical sell signal at US$1321 on 25/8/16. The gold price subsequently generated a re-entry technical buy signal at US$1216 on 2/2/17. The minimum... Show More
The Dalian iron ore futures originally completed a technical top formation / closed below key support on 27/3/17 at 566 thereby generating a technical sell signal and resulting in the technicals turning negative. The subsequent sell off resulted in the initial downside target @ 516 and secondary sell signal target... Show More
The Dalian iron ore futures completed a technical top formation / closed below key support on 27/3/17 at 566 thereby generating a technical sell signal and resulting in the technicals turning negative. The subsequent sell off resulted in the initial downside target @ 516 and secondary sell signal target @... Show More
The Dow Jones originally generated a technical sell signal at 20,668 on 21/3/17. Show More
The Shanghai Composite Index originally generated a technical buy signal at 2955 on 18/3/16. At that point the index technical outlook turned positive. Show More
The Nasdaq Composite index is overbought and is located near key resistance of the long-term upward trend channel that originated in 2008. It is now also located at overbought levels on a momentum / RSI basis which is reason for caution relating to the sustainability of the current rally. Show More
The ASX200 index is rated as a technical hold. Currently there is no sign of a (new) technical top formation emerging. Major resistance is located at 5996, which was the April 2015 peak, and as highlighted on chart below, looms as a major technical barrier (within the broad long-term trend... Show More
DALIAN IRON ORE FUTURES (470) - downside target located at 450 Show More
Dalian iron ore futures - a close below 485 if it occurs would signal next major downward move. Iron ore recently completed a technical top formation / closed below key support on 27/3/17 at 566 thereby generating a technical sell signal. This was the first technical trend change in the... Show More
The spot gold price originally generated a technical sell signal at US$1321 on 25/8/16. It subsequently generated a re-entry technical buy signal at US$1216 on 2/2/17. The nominated upside technical price target located at US$1262 was reached on 27/2/17. Show More
The Dalian iron ore futures recently completed a technical top formation / closed below key support on 27/3/17 at 566 thereby generating a technical sell signal as detailed in this recent Wire. This was the first technical trend change in the iron ore price since the buy signal was originally... Show More
The spot gold price originally generated a technical sell signal at US$1321 on 25/8/16. The gold price subsequently generated a re-entry technical buy signal at US$1216 on 2/2/17. The nominated upside technical price target located at US$1262 was reached on 27/2/17 as detailed in my previous Wire. The more recent... Show More
The Dalian iron ore futures contract originally generated a technical buy signal on 28/01/2016 as detailed in a previous Wire (link below). The iron ore price technical outlook turned positive at that point. The Dalian iron ore futures has now completed a technical top formation / closed below key support... Show More
It is a significant negative momentum indicator that over the last two days a number of key global indices have generated technical sell signals in a cluster - Dow Jones, S and P 500, Nikkei, ASX200 index and Toronto TSX60. (There is no potential in the near-term for technical sell... Show More
Although no two market cycles are the same, there are clear parallels from a technical perspective between where the Dow Jones is currently located compared to the situation in 2007 (and 1999) - i.e at the same overbought levels on a RSI basis, and at the upper end of trend... Show More
I agree with you Mathan. By far the most common way my technical analysis model is used is in combination with fundamental analysis, rather than in isolation. The technicals are a "timing tool" and useful in identifying turning points in momentum / sentiment (which is really what technicals are analysing), particularly when it has moved to an extreme. There are times when fundamentals are not the key driver of share price or market performance, and it is in those situations that technicals are particularly useful. By way of illustration of how the technicals have been effective on the "timing"side, during last year major market turning points were identified - the upward reversal point in US bond yields in August 2016 (at a then yield of 1.58%) and the buy signals on the key European stockmarkets in mid-July 2016.
On Technicals - Dow Jones - at same overbought levels as in 2007 and 1999 -
It has been interesting to note that in mid-August a cluster of gold stocks generated technical sell signals. Commonly, stock technicals lead the related commodity.
On Technicals - Gold - potential for a sell signal to be generated -
The close above 5036, as detailed in my Wire as the key technical level, has activated the technical buy signal.
On ASX200 index technicals – 5036 is the key level to watch -
Day to day movements won’t alter the trend after a signal is generated i.e Just as there is very specific criteria that needs to met to generate a technical signal, very specific criteria needs to be me to invalidate a signal. In the case of brent, a downside break of a key support level would be required to negate the current buy signal.
QMG clients were provided with an early technical alert on 27/4/15, when the AUD was trading at 0.7820, that the potential had emerged for a trend change in the AUD/USD. The break above the 0.7843 resistance barrier during the next trading session satisfied the criteria and activated a technical buy, and it was at that point the AUD technical trend turned positive.
CBA is the major bank stock to have generated a sell signal
As detailed on 9/12/14,WTI oil originally generated a technical sell signal at US$90.69 on 23/9/14. Most recently nominated downside target located at US$60 (detailed in 9/12/14 Wire). If a close below this level occurs, major subsequent support would then be located in the US$56 - 58 band.
As detailed on 9/12/13, WTI oil originally generated technical sell signal @US$90.69 on 23/9/14. Most recently nominated downside target located at US$60.00. Next support band under US$60, if that level is broken on closing basis, is located in US$56 - 58 range.