Clime Asset Management

The Clime Group is an independent, highly-esteemed, Australian Financial Services Company, which seeks to deliver excellent service and strong risk-adjusted total returns, closely aligned with the objectives of our clients.

Expertise

ACCC missing the mark with cartel charges

Clime Asset Management

Back in August 2015, we wrote an incisive article noting that ANZ’s $2.5 billion placement raising had fallen short. Whilst there was no public confirmation at the time by either ANZ or the underwriters, it was our experience in the market that led us to deduce that the investment banks... Show More

An interesting alternative to the major banks

Clime Asset Management

It would be understandable if investors with large holdings in the four major commercial banks spent much of their time reviewing the recent mixed earnings results and negative newsflow from the Royal Commission. However, the vast amount of negative media and analyst coverage makes it tempting to spend too much... Show More

The Budget Dust Settles

Clime Asset Management

A week after the fanfare of the 2018/19 Budget, we can soberly review some of the information and data that supports its projections. In the body of the Budget papers are a wealth of tables and charts that contain important observations and insights into the Australian economy. We scan through... Show More

Rotting from the head: We need more than a Royal Commission

Clime Asset Management

The Royal Commission into the Australian banking system has triggered shocking headlines of abuse, particularly around financial advice. But there is a danger that while the inquiry identifies issues and delivers a regulatory response, it doesn’t get to the core of the problem. Show More

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Frankly, this is unfair

Clime Asset Management

There is no doubt that Australia’s franking system has lots of flaws. Today, we are one of the few countries in the world which maintains a franking system, and probably the only one that has cash rebates of franking. Show More

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Janus Henderson: Upside following steep price drop

Clime Asset Management

Janus Henderson Group is a global asset management business with US$370 billion of assets under management. The performance of global equity markets is the largest single driver of company earnings, and yet the stock is down 13% for the 2018 calendar year to date, in the context of a flat... Show More

ASX:JHG

A franked discussion

Clime Asset Management

The announcement by the Australian Labor Party (“the ALP”) of its policy shift to stop the cash rebate of franked dividends was predictable … and is alarming. Show More

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Steady Hands Navigating Global Investment Markets

Clime Asset Management

Before delving into some of the specifics, we believe it is worthwhile recapping where NGI has come from, to better appreciate some of the successes now becoming increasingly observable. It’s been quite a journey for the US-based Navigator Global Investments (NGI). Formerly known as HFA Holdings (HFA), NGI is the... Show More

Two tech small-caps to watch

Clime Asset Management

With reporting season now behind us we have gained a more complete picture of how all of our portfolio holdings have performed for the first half of 2018. While some have disappointed relative to expectations, there were two standout small-caps within the technology space that comfortably exceeded forecasts. Here we... Show More

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The ABC of Tax

Clime Asset Management

A few weeks back, “our ABC” poured oil onto the heated debate in Canberra regarding the Commonwealth Government’s proposed tax rate cut legislation. The ABC produced data which represented that a significant proportion of major Australian companies hadn’t been paying tax in recent times, and from this observation its commentators... Show More

The best investing strategy now normal volatility has resumed

Clime Asset Management

Volatility is the value investor’s best friend and weeks like last week are welcome opportunities, not reasons to panic. For so long quality companies with growth traded above the prices we wanted to pay but last week’s indiscriminate selling knocked their prices down to levels sufficiently below valuations for us... Show More

Redflex: reinvigorated for growth in 2018

Clime Asset Management

One of the businesses we believe is well-positioned for a strong 2018 is traffic enforcement technology provider, Redflex Holdings (ASX:RDF). Show More

Smaller companies going global

Clime Asset Management

It’s often said that Australians are a nation of travellers. One could stretch to almost any corner of the globe and stumble across an Aussie. Given the increasingly global context of business and economics, we would suggest that the intrepid nature present in individual Australian travellers is increasingly prevalent in... Show More

Finding opportunities in small-caps

Clime Asset Management

Picking up where David left off on large-cap investing, this week I’m going to discuss some strategies we use to find investment opportunities for the Clime Smaller Companies Fund (CSCF). Show More

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Where to find opportunities in large companies

Clime Asset Management

There is so much confusion about the stocks in the ASX’s large-caps index, the ASX 50. Some investors see them as ‘blue-chips’ by virtue of their size and longevity, and thus see them as long-term portfolio holds. Others think the ASX 50 is largely useless: a motley, concentrated index of... Show More

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What's driving markets right now?

Clime Asset Management

In this article we look at some of the more topical subjects influencing financial markets and analyse a few interesting charts. We start with rising rates – the message being delivered by the Federal Reserve’s Janet Yellen in uncharacteristic straightforward terms. Then we cast an eye over President Trump’s tax... Show More

CBA becoming compelling value as the stock falls out of favour

Clime Asset Management

The central argument of our thesis on CBA has been the stock would lose most of its premium to its major bank peers as ANZ and National Australia Bank derisked and improved their profitability by correcting their strategic mistakes (eg. divesting non-core businesses), managing their capital more efficiently and resuming... Show More

Economic Warfare

Clime Asset Management

North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un, has confirmed that the Democratic People's Republic now has thermonuclear capabilities after testing it's newly developed hydrogen bomb at the country's nuclear test site. Aside from obvious political, military and environmental implications, this could have considerable economic ramifications, especially for Australia should it get caught... Show More

SDA potentially a great opportunity for patient investors

Clime Asset Management

The market is littered with the corpses of over-geared, would-be consolidators that grew too fast and didn’t fully integrate acquisitions along the way. You needn’t even stray outside of the telco sector to find a recent and very public example in Vocus Group (ASX:VOC). You would therefore be forgiven for... Show More

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Is Citadel a buy at current prices?

Clime Asset Management

Citadel Group (ASX: CGL) is a leader in the development and delivery of managed service solutions to a range of government departments and private sector businesses. We believe CGL’s competitive edge is their expertise and deep experience in ‘managing knowledge in complex environments through integrating know-how, systems and people to... Show More

Hi James, Thanks for engaging with the article – we will try to address your points as best we can. We don’t typically look at businesses from a lens of relative value but taking this approach, we see FY18 EBITDA - including UltiSat – as being >$150m without organic growth. D&A will be much higher than 6% of revenues (you may be thinking of depreciation alone, which is typically 5-6% of revenues). Net debt (gross drawn debt less cash) was $333.2m and management’s guidance implies it will cap out around $340-350m. EV/EBITDA therefore comes in around 7.5x (EV of $1170m vs. our FY18e EBITDA of $157m). We see EV/EBIT as being less relevant for this type of business, given EBIT is not a good proxy for operating cash flow but on that basis, obviously a high depreciation business will look more expensive. As for organic growth, the CAGR we calculate ex-acquisition since CY14 is around 8% (revenue) and from CY16-CY18, 0% assuming CY18 revenue is c. $650m. Regards, Clime Team

On SDA potentially a great opportunity for patient investors -

Hi Daniel, thanks for your question. The ‘fair value’ we refer to simply reflects our view on the aggregate intrinsic value of the market. As the note discusses, the methodology we use to derive intrinsic value largely focuses on return on equity (ROE) and an appropriate required return (discount rate). Regards, Clime team

On Why the Australian stock market is now back to fair value -