Daniel Weston

Daniel
Weston

Chief Investment Officer
Aimed Capital

Running the Aimed Global Alpha - Macro Hedge Fund. Aussie. Trader. Investor. Coder. Cricketer. Skier. Surfer. Flyer. www.aimedcapital.com

Expertise

No areas of expertise

Warfare is on the Rise. Gold will be too.

Daniel Weston

In recent weeks I have been buying gold in the portfolio. Here's why. Show More

Our Chart Book: Economics, Correlations, Volatility and Returns

Daniel Weston

Today I want to present a range of big picture graphs from a long term perspective. I get the sense that as the world gets officially Brexited and Trumped, we are experiencing a gradual but pivotal global economic turning point. The implications wont be felt in an instant, they will... Show More

Trump won't run America. Technology will continue to.

Daniel Weston

I always considered both candidates as negative influences on the World once elected. Both being ethically challenged and morally bankrupt. Show More

Trump

Join the conversation

Where to find growth between a rock and a hard place

Daniel Weston

The Fed is clearly setting the stage to raise rates before the end of the year. They seem inclined to want to do that anyway. Yesterday Mr Fischer gave a fascinating dissertation to the Economic Club of New York which you can see a snippet in the report below. It's... Show More

fed inflation rates

Join the conversation

$14 billion and counting. Politics, Banking and Technology

Daniel Weston

Is this a co-incidence? or pure Politics at play? Show More

The four big trades we see ahead

Daniel Weston

Today I present four charts which outlines our key market themes and portfolio positioning as we face ongoing Brexit uncertainty and malaise, a ever tightening US election race and a domestic weakening of Merkel's political powers in Germany. Show More

Growth, Inflation, Liquidity and Sentiment Indicators

Daniel Weston

A year ago I sat here thinking that economic fundamentals mattered most when being a global macro investor. The "fundamentals" were driving my calls and it was working. It is exactly one year since my bearish, "fundamental" view of Commodities, Stocks and China lead the portfolio to enjoy the gains... Show More

While the DAX enters a bull market. We can't get bullish on German growth.

Daniel Weston

Today the DAX has reached a 20% return since its February lows. Therefore entering what is known as a bull market. Show More

We are in the quest of the holy grail. Antifragility.

Daniel Weston

Nassim Bin Taleb is a legend of decision theory, risk and probability. He also developed the concept of "Antifragility" and proceeded to write the book on it. Show More

Chart Book: We start looking out to next year

Daniel Weston

To commence the second half of the year, we start cranking the levers of our economic models in the direction of 2017. Show More

Global issues are coming. The un-intended consequences of a Brexit.

Daniel Weston

We made 0.4% for our investors last week. Sidestepping the market volatility which literally wiped off trillions of dollars of wealth in world markets. Show More

Extremes, enormities, bubbles and bonds

Daniel Weston

The world is becoming an ever scarier place, with a whole raft of current market, economic and political talking points all seeming to fit somewhere between a label of "extremes" or "enormities". Show More

Black swans or just known unknowns ahead?

Daniel Weston

What a month we have ahead for a heap of potentially market moving events! Show More

Our UK Trade leading in to the Brexit Vote

Daniel Weston

A poll came out in recent days showing a 55 to 37% lead for Britain to "stay" in Europe. I think that when the vote does come, it will be much closer. Show More

Too complex to go back to basics?

Daniel Weston

Lately, it seems the short term moves in the markets defy my logic, text book economics and history combined. Show More

Join the conversation

When the fundamentals (or drugs) dont work

Daniel Weston

With the vast majority of the worlds economies showing disappointing, stagnant, weakening fundamental data. The markets boom higher. It is what it is. Show More

We just got whacked, we will whack it back

Daniel Weston

Last year was a huge success for the portfolio and our investors. This January was fantastic too. By mid-way through January we were up 6% while general markets were down 10%. Things were looking very bright for the year ahead. Show More

Waiting for the mother of all shorting opportunities

Daniel Weston

I can’t see any reason to own inflation protected bonds in a portfolio myself. If inflation were a concern, which based on our inflation analysis it isn’t, we would not be buying inflation-protected bonds anyway. There are many better ways to put on this trade. Instead, one of them is... Show More

inflation the buy side brief

The dollar: Fact or fashion?

Daniel Weston

Since early January, we've been bullish the AUD against the USD. Currencies often trade on either fact or fashion; sometimes it can be hard to pin down which one it is! Last year it was certainly fashionable to short the Aussie, and we short we were. Chinese economic weakness was... Show More

usd aud the buy side brief

The Aussie Battlers guide to battling the Aussie Dollar Trade

Daniel Weston

Our largest profits for March (and the year so far) was our long Aussie dollar trade. Not many said that could be done! But we battled our way through, in what was a tough month for Global Macro Investors broadly. Show More