Wage Worry

David Bassanese

Global equities were on the defensive last week reflecting rising trade tensions and a higher than expected US wage outcome. Contrary to hopes, no US-Canada trade deal was announced and instead Trump ratcheted up the trade angst by threatening more tariffs on China and hinting his next focus could be... Show More

Sticker shock?

David Bassanese

It was another positive week for global equities, with sentiment particularly buoyed by a US-Mexico trade deal. Sentiment eased somewhat by week’s end, however, given America’s negotiations with both Canada and China remained unresolved. In fact, Trump ended the week threatening to impose tariffs on another $200 billion of Chinese... Show More

Friendly Fed

David Bassanese

The key global highlight last week was the fact that Wall Street managed to touch new record highs on the back of reassuring comments from the Federal Reserve. Indeed, the S&P 500 lifted 0.9% last week, helped by a 0.6% rise on Friday following a speech by Fed chair Jerome... Show More

Friendly Fed

David Bassanese

The key global highlight last week was the fact that Wall Street managed to touch new record highs on the back of reassuring comments from the Federal Reserve. Indeed, the S&P 500 lifted 0.9% last week, helped by a 0.6% rise on Friday following a speech by Fed chair Jerome... Show More

Did China Blink?

David Bassanese

Turkey dominated the headlines for much of last week, with the fall out spilling over into emerging markets. But the big news was late in the week with the announcement that China and the US would hold trade talks in Washington this week, which saw the the S&P 500 end... Show More

Turkey Shoot

David Bassanese

It was a mixed week for global markets with lingering optimism over the US economy tempered by concerns surrounding emerging markets in the wake of financial volatility in Russia and Turkey. US sanctions have unnerved investors in these markets, culminating in Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan even cajoling his citizens to... Show More

Strategic Retreat?

David Bassanese

The key highlight across global markets last week was the fact that Wall Street simply shrugged in the face of an escalation of the trade wars. As noted last week, Wall Street rallied on the day America’s first instalment of tariffs on $US50 billion of Chinese imports came into effect,... Show More

ASX Breakout!

David Bassanese

Last week was a down week for global equities in general, thanks in large part to US President Trump’s threats to impose even more tariffs on Chinese and European imports. So far at least, however, what’s apparent is that countries are not bowing to Trump’s threats. That said, markets are... Show More

An RBA rate cut is the dark horse on Melbourne Cup Day

David Bassanese

The Reserve Bank of Australia has recently indicated that this Wednesday’s September quarter consumer price index report will be a critical factor when its Board sits to decide on interest rates next Tuesday (Melbourne Cup day). What’s more, there is a reasonable chance that inflation will (again) surprise on the... Show More

Latest Global Market Outlook: Listed property fades

David Bassanese

Global equity markets inches cautiously ahead in September, somewhat heartened by the fact that the United States Federal Reserve baulked at raising interest rates at its key meeting. That said, growing fear of Fed tightening saw equity market “bond proxies” such as listed property underperform. Download the full report: http://www.betasharesblog.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/GlobalMarketOutlookOct16-1.pdf Show More

Is it time to buy resources stocks?

David Bassanese

The Australian materials sector (largely comprising our major miners) has performed relatively well so far this year due to firmer commodity prices and a relatively benign United States interest rate outlook. Although valuations in the sector appear high, they might be justified if commodity prices hold up near current levels... Show More

Market Insights: Is the $A still overvalued?

David Bassanese

The Australian dollar has proven stubbornly resilient in recent months, thanks to firm iron ore prices and reluctance on the part of the United States Federal Reserve to raise US interest rates. This note updates our valuation model of the Australian dollar, particularly in light of recent comments by the... Show More

Global Market Outlook September 2016: Fed fears re-emerge

David Bassanese

Solid US economic data and hawkish rhetoric from several Federal Reserve members saw markets last month start to fear re-commencement of US official interest rates hikes. Whether the Fed hikes rates or not in coming months, a key emerging investment theme nonetheless is a maturing in America’s expansion due to... Show More

Market Insights: Central banks have lost the plot

David Bassanese

This week’s annual meeting of global central bankers at Jackson Hole comes at a time when investors are beginning to question the wisdom of ongoing extreme monetary stimulus. Contrary to many critics, however, my concern is not that these measures have not worked. Instead, I maintain they’re simply not... Show More

Market Insights: Another rate cut more likely than not

David Bassanese

Although the Reserve Bank of Australia’s August Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP) did not contain an explicit easing bias, nor changes to the Bank’s growth or inflation forecasts, it’s nonetheless still consistent with a strong bias to cutting interest rates further – even after the RBA’s decision to slash official... Show More

Global Market Outlook August 2016: The Post-Brexit TINA Trade

David Bassanese

Optimism related to post-Brexit central bank stimulus continued to buoy global equities in July, even though oil prices slumped and initial central bank actions proved disappointing. Other supportive factors were a reassuring bounce-back in US employment growth, a relatively benign US earnings reporting season to date, and continued cautiousness from... Show More

I'll keep it simple.. on historic mortgage affordability measures Sydney had become and still is just way too expensive ...and that's before the RBA lifts rates.. .I foresee sluggish price weakness for several years to come...

On Is it time to buy Sydney property? -

As you note, the MorningStar Institutional Survey excludes active performance fees, which may well eat up most of that marginal out performance by the 'average' manager. The survey also does not appear to allow for survivorship bias - i.e. under performing managers exiting before the 10-year period ends. The result seems great but defies most other financial research evidence, including S&P's SPIVA survey.

On Why active management works in Australia -

Hi Jerome. Thanks for reading my post but I think you miss the whole point of index investing. The core produces asset class "beta" returns and so is cheap as it does not try to generate alpha returns. It is hardly "risky" or "sub-optimal". If you know a great alpha fund that more than makes up for its (assumed) higher fees through higher returns then good luck to you.. but the evidence suggests most can't do that consistently..

On Blending active and passive: Analysing the key benefits of core/satellite investing -

Thanks for your comments and passing on your research finding. As you say I am sure there are a few fundies that can outperform over time.and a few strategies they seem to work . but finding them and sticking with them is hard as even they may go through periods of under performance. In general, everyone can't beat the market! Cheers David

On Thoughts on the Active vs Passive Debate -