The Trump Factor - Commodity Scorecard So Far

Gavin Wendt

It’s worthwhile reflecting on the impact of Donald Trump’s election victory on commodities so far. In the immediate aftermath, we witnessed a surge in commodity prices pretty much across the board, with the obvious exception of gold – viewed by some as a likely laggard investment in the growth-fuelled Trump... Show More

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Growing Understanding of Commercial Opportunity - Cardinal Resources (ASX: CDV)

Gavin Wendt

Cardinal Resources was one of the best-performing emerging gold plays of 2016, after having invested considerable amounts of time, energy and money in exploring, appraising and steadily de-risking its multi-million ounce Namdini gold project in Ghana to an acceptable level. All of this activity happened at just the right time... Show More

Three Junior Equities Benefitting from Uranium's Recovery

Gavin Wendt

Uranium has been the most-hated commodity since 2011 - and the Global X Uranium ETF, which tracks global uranium miners, is down by 90% over the last six years. But since the Trump election victory, international uranium stocks have soared by 59%. The market is speculating that the Trump administration... Show More

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Emerging Gold Producer at the Right Time - Gascoyne Resources (ASX: GCY)

Gavin Wendt

With A$ gold prices continuing their strong 15-year run, it's interesting that there are relatively few new gold sector production opportunities of reasonable scale available to investors at the present time. Most budding gold hopefuls have already made the transition to production status over recent years, with the balance having... Show More

World Bank Forecasts Industrial Commodities Price Strength in 2017

Gavin Wendt

There's further encouraging news for the outlook for industrial metals in 2017. The World Bank in its just-released January 2017 Commodity Markets Outlook is forecasting strong gains for industrial commodities such as energy and metals during 2017, due to tightening supply and strengthening demand. The Bank has raised its metals... Show More

The just commenced drilling program at the Obelisk prospect in WA will be well worth watching.

On Sipa - Delivering the goods -

Hi Alex, it's an important commodity that's lived in the shadow of graphite, lithium, vanadium for some time. A lot of it is produced as a by-product from copper and nickel operations, whilst there are a few dedicated cobalt operations - but typically in higher sovereign risk places like Uganda.

On The Trump Factor - Commodity Scorecard So Far -

Hi Alex, it seems to be pretty much related to a strong market move in all actual uranium-producing stocks, including ERA for example on the domestic market, plus a host of overseas players. You're right re uranium - no one will believe it until they see it - it's been in the doghouse for so long.

On Three Junior Equities Benefitting from Uranium's Recovery -

Orion is a great story - especially given how relatively advanced things are, but still with a lot of exploration upside. I believe the MD Errol Smart is presenting at Africa Down Under on Thursday.

On Orion acquiring exposure to quality zinc assets -

I agree to some extent with your near-term forecast. Nothing goes up in a straight line and the likelihood always was that Brexit wasn't going to be as scary for markets as the pessimists made out. However, whilst traders might look to exit or reduce gold positions near-term, I think any pullbacks will be viewed as a buying opportunity by longer-term investors. With interest rates likely to stay low (at zero or even negative levels) then gold will perform solidly.

On US dollar and receding Brexit fears place pressure on gold. Gold stocks are a short-term sell. -

It reminds me of all the hullabaloo surrounding ‘The Y2K bug’ – lots of hysteria at first, but in the end it all passed without any lasting consequences....a storm in a teacup ultimately....

On Does Brexit matter? -

Thank you for your kind words Patrick. Yes, it's important to distinguish between the commodities and their various outlooks. The big picture for most commodities looks quite positive, but the bulks are a different story.

On Base Metals Outlook - Is the Worst Behind Us? -

James, the deposits at Yamarna are likely to be large, so there will be the economies of scale necessary for a remote project like this. Bear in mind though that there are different scales of remote - we're not talking about deepest, darkest Africa here. I believe GOR will initially announce a Gruyere resource of between 1.5M - 2.0M oz grading 1.1g/t - 1.5g/t Au, which in turn could potentially support a 150,000 oz p.a. production scenario. The key here is scale and it's likely that this will end up being a +5Moz gold belt. The company already has Sumitomo as a JV partner, so in effect it already has a major on board for half its project.

On Gold Road (ASX:GOR) up 2c to 22c following yesterday's commentary after today releasing further outstanding results -

Not just Japan but the world over, easy money from central banks has spurred record sharemarkets and over-valued property, as speculators chase returns. The innocent victims being left behind are the mums and dads that did the right thing and saved and put their money into the bank. The scary stat out of the US is that it's taken $5 of stimulus to generate $1 of growth.

On There are no one-way bets in global finance, but Japan's stock market comes close -

Interesting reading and thanks for sharing. A significant proportion of shale oil production in the US is economic only if base-case oil prices remain high. It's certainly added to production volumes but it requires a robust price to be viable. Predictions in some quarters of oil prices falling to $60 or even $40 a barrel won't happen.

On The oil price spike of 2008, as economic theory would suggest, has delivered a supply response: US shale has been significant, proven oil reserves (globally)... -

James, Jameson Resources appears to be very well run and importantly its projects are coking coal (not thermal coal), so hence more attractive from a price and market perspective. The projects are also close to essential infrastructure, which is a huge plus for any bulk commodity project - and this sets it apart from most of its peers. Lots of project activity too which should help drive market interest.

On My preferred emerging exploration plays from Resources Rising Stars on the Gold Coast last week are FAR and Jameson... -