Mary Manning

As a region, Asia represents one of the best long term structural growth stories in the world. I recently published a comprehensive article outlining our views on the outlook for Asian markets. Following a positive start to 2019 for Asian markets I've highlighted a few of the key points below: Show More

Mary Manning

Asian markets have begun trading again after the Chinese New Year break. Last year was a difficult year for Asia but the outlook for the Year of the Pig is decidedly different. The US Fed is becoming increasingly dovish, the US Sino trade war is de-escalating, China may announce monetary... Show More

Macro
Alex Cowie

One of the most engaging parts of my role at Livewire is working with Australian fund managers to discuss their views and bring you great content. With over 400 managers now contributing to the platform, overseeing the content can feel like being at the epicentre of the market. So with... Show More

Mary Manning

The positive trade outcome at the recent G20 meeting and dovish comments by US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell are both important catalysts for a rally in Asian markets into the year-end and early 2019. So for our Livewire Christmas Cracker, we are taking a look at a very attractive buying... Show More

Mary Manning

Asia is the best structural growth story in the world driven by strong demographics, a rising middle class, infrastructure build and technological leapfrogging. We believe that the combination of high growth and reasonable prices offer a compelling opportunity. Show More

Investment Theme

The performance of Shanghai Composite Index is lagging the US market by a massive 30% so far this year. Mary Manning says this divergence is extreme when compared to the ‘economic reality’ of the trade tariffs. She describes two scenarios both of which she believes would provide a positive catalyst... Show More

Mary Manning

Asian markets performed well in the last year. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index (AUD) is up 14% in FY18, outperforming the ASX 200 by approximately 5%. Looking forward to FY19, there are 5 critical questions that will determine the path of equity markets in Asia: Show More

Hi Lloyd, Appreciate the question. I think the Chinese Government is very conscious not to repeat the mistakes of past easing cycles where excessive borrowing was allowed in order to stimulate economic growth. The Chinese government has worked hard over the past 3 years to clean up the financial system. Measures such as deleveraging at state-owned enterprises and local governments, reducing excess capacity in heavy industries and tightening regulations on lending practices are structural. As such, policymakers will be more cautious and selective in their stimulus actions this easing cycle. This will likely mean a greater focus on fiscal policies such as tax cuts to support domestic consumption and modest infrastructure spending along with some minor monetary easing measures such as RRR cuts. These measures should see China’s economic growth improve throughout 2019, particularly if we get a positive resolution in the US/China trade dispute.

On This could become a FOMO rally very quickly -