How to invest late in the cycle

Matthew Haupt

We are in the later stages of the second-longest bull market in history and, as time goes on, the question is not if the bull market will end but when. However, this might still be some time away. The International Monetary Fund recently maintained its positive outlook on global economic... Show More

Spotlight on Alumina

Matthew Haupt

Aluminium prices hit three-month highs this week following embargoes on a major Russian producer, Rusal, and an unresolved supply disruption at an Alunorte refinery in Brazil. Rusal, which is responsible for approximately 7.0% of the world’s aluminium, had its material blocked by the two largest global metal exchanges after President... Show More

Rio Tinto’s results overlooked

Matthew Haupt

Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) announced its full year results on Wednesday, reporting an interim underlying profit of US $3.9 billion, driven by its iron ore division. The profit was a 286% increase on the previous year, but was slightly below market expectations. The company also announced its record interim... Show More

Macquarie holds steady

Matthew Haupt

On Thursday, diversified financial services company Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG) reaffirmed its earnings guidance at its annual general meeting. The company reported improvements in commodities and global markets trading activity, increased lending in its corporate and asset finance division and greater debt capital markets activity. We believe the short-term outlook... Show More

APRA: Unquestionable relief

Matthew Haupt

We believe the prudential regulator’s definition of ‘unquestionably strong’ provides a favourable result for the Australian banking sector with significant political and regulatory uncertainty now removed from the sector. In our view the banks can meet the 10.5% capital requirement without the need for potentially dilutive equity capital raisings. Show More

Incitec Pivot upgrades

Matthew Haupt

On Tuesday, chemical agriculture company Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX: IPL) received an upgrade to its debt rating. We believe fertiliser prices have bottomed and combined with the debt re-rating, the company will generate solid earnings and improve its balance sheet. Shares in Incitec Pivot closed up 7.0% for the week.... Show More

IAG shares surge

Matthew Haupt

On Wednesday, Insurance Australia Group Limited (ASX: IAG) surprised the market with an increased profit forecast due to better than expected claims costs. The company said lower than anticipated claims costs predominantly related to compulsory third party (CTP), liability, professional risk and workers compensation. Following the announcement, IAG shares surged... Show More

CSL Limited ready for China

Matthew Haupt

On Tuesday, CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) announced its decision to acquire 80% of the equity of plasma-derived therapies manufacturer, Wuhan Zhong Yuan Rui De Biological Products (Ruide) in China for US $352 million. The transaction will see the company enter the Chinese domestic plasma fractionation market. CSL Limited has demonstrated... Show More

Flight Centre on the right flight path

Matthew Haupt

On Thursday, Australia’s largest travel agent Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX: FLT) presented at the Macquarie Conference. The company reaffirmed their FY17 guidance of $300m to $330m underlying profit before tax, down 7-15% on the previous corresponding period, which had been impacted by declining prices in international airfares over the... Show More

CPU: a decade of headwinds now turning to tailwinds

Matthew Haupt

On Thursday, share registry Computershare (ASX: CPU) held an investor day in Melbourne, which Portfolio Manager Matthew Haupt and Senior Equity Analyst John Ayoub attended. The company reaffirmed FY17 earnings per share (EPS) guidance of US 56-58 cents, up 1.7-5.3% on the previous corresponding period. We believe in the ability... Show More

No comments.