How to spot the next big crisis

Morphic Asset Management

Humans tend to fear spectacular, but unlikely events. This is the proposition that Bruce Schneir makes in his book “Beyond Fear”. For example, European tourism has been significantly impacted by much talked about terrorist attacks despite the extremely low probabilities of something occurring to any individual. With the anniversary of... Show More

Global Logistics Ripe for Disruption

Morphic Asset Management

In today’s world, consumers can purchase seasonal products all year round thanks to efficient global logistics networks. There is always a part of the world in the appropriate season for growing fruit which can be picked, packed and quickly transported to be sold fresh and ripening anywhere there is sufficient... Show More

Our macro anti-predictions for 2017

Morphic Asset Management

As part of our outlook for the coming six months, we provide a set of “non-predictions” for things that we think will not happen in the second half of 2017. Often predicting what won't happen is somewhat easier than predicting what will happen, helping to narrow the focus of what... Show More

3 Things About the European Economy You Didn't Expect (or: why European markets have gone up and may keep going up) Well, that wasn't meant to happen

Morphic Asset Management

3 Things About the European Economy You Didn't Expect (or: why European markets have gone up and may keep going up) Well, that wasn't meant to happen. Just when US (and global) based investors had considered it safe to not have to bother to researching European equities, this year has seen... Show More

The next crisis: Some thoughts on shapes, paths and catalysts. It is said that Generals spend their peacetime planning on how they would have fought the last...

Morphic Asset Management

The next crisis: Some thoughts on shapes, paths and catalysts. It is said that Generals spend their peacetime planning on how they would have fought the last war better. Post the 2008 GFC a number of regulations have been introduced to reduce systemic risks by tightening the regulations on the banking... Show More

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