Nathan Bell

Nathan
Bell

Head of Research
Peters MacGregor

Nathan has over 20 years' investment experience. Before joining Peters MacGregor, he worked for 9 years at Intelligent Investor, including 4 years as a Portfolio Manager. Nathan is a CFA charterholder

Expertise

Surviving and profiting from the market rout

Nathan Bell

If you’re a know-something investor, then you’ve likely been expecting or hoping for a correction with increased volatility for a while. Corrections are normal, what’s been abnormal is the 59% increase in the S&P500 from the low of 1,810 in February 2016 without a 5% correction. Clearly this blissful period... Show More

Livewire Summer School: Build your ark before the flood

Nathan Bell

Recently a friend described investing over the past eight years since the GFC as investing for the journey. With the world economy currently enjoying a rare patch of synchronized growth, we’ve now arrived. That means it’s a good time to review your battle plan should markets become far less accommodative... Show More

investment strategy summer school

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A world of opportunity

Nathan Bell

After eight years of falling interest rates and quantitative easing, most investors are wondering how long before the next great fall and when it will happen, mostly so they can dump their shares and avoid the pain suffered during the GFC. Show More

A better bet than Telstra’s 5.5% dividend yield

Nathan Bell

Telstra’s share price has fallen 40% since it reached a high of $6.61 in February 2015, and the company is currently facing more pressure than ever. The company is forecasting a dividend of just 22 cents next year, down from 31 cents, for a 5.5% dividend yield. Show More

Buying Google at half-price

Nathan Bell

One way Nathan Bell and the team from Peters MacGregor find investment ideas is by looking at familiar sectors and identifying undervalued global analogues. In this short video with Livewire, Nathan describes a Google lookalike trading at less than half the valuation. Show More

A look at Metro Bank and the UK banking industry

Nathan Bell

Metro Bank is the new kid on a UK retail banking scene plagued with customers fed up by lousy treatment from the largely unchallenged oligopoly of Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland. We take a look into why Metro is great and the industry it operates in. Show More

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Just 2 ASX stocks pass the Benjamin Graham filter

Nathan Bell

With valuations for high quality businesses currently near or at an extreme, we thought we’d run a screen based on Graham’s Stock Selection Criteria to see if it produced any overlooked, inexpensive stocks. Ben Graham is regarded as the father of value investing, having authored Security Analysis and its friendlier... Show More

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A better bet than Aussie housing

Nathan Bell

Investing in Australian residential property has been nothing short of a goldmine in recent years. Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s business partner, would call it a lollapalooza effect, where several forces, such as low interest rates, the rapid development of the Chinese economy and an influx of foreign buyers, have culminated... Show More

How to sidestep the potential pain from passive investing

Nathan Bell

In part one we showed how being contrarian can produce huge returns, while in part two we explained how buying companies with owner-managers can also give you an edge. Show More

Why it pays to be contrarian

Nathan Bell

In part one of this three-part series, we explained how buying companies where management has their own wealth on the line can help you beat the market. In this article, part two, we’re going to analyse a current portfolio holding to show how you can trounce the market if you’re... Show More

How insider ownership can thrash the market

Nathan Bell

‘Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.’ Like a food label warning that your favourite box of chocolates may contain traces of nuts, we’ve all read something similar when analysing the performance of a fund manager. Show More

Is Twitter a trump card?

Nathan Bell

If you weren’t aware of Twitter before the US Presidential race, then you surely are now. Provided you don’t use more than 140 characters, Twitter is a social media platform that largely lets you share any thought that crosses your mind with the entire world. Show More

Where has the growth gone? You have to know where to look

Nathan Bell

Investors with a portfolio of top-20 Australian stocks have recently been asking where the growth has gone. Looking at global GDP figures you’d be forgiven for thinking that there isn’t any growth anywhere. At least not that’s available at an attractive price, given the current high valuations for stocks offering... Show More

Value stocks with growth potential

Nathan Bell

Many investors currently feel sandwiched between accepting low growth on one hand, and having to pay gross prices for high-growth stocks on the other. Gone, it seems, are the days where you could pay a fair price for a wonderful business – forcing you to accept lower returns by paying... Show More

How to prepare for market routs

Nathan Bell

The key to taking advantage of high volatility is remaining unemotional, which requires having a plan well ahead of time. It’s natural that in times of panic you’ll gravitate to the stocks you already own. Initially, you’ll likely play defence by reassessing the risks in your portfolio. As broad market... Show More

Why passive ETFs are likely a poor bet moving forward

Nathan Bell

Passive ETFs returns have been strong, fees have remained low and exposure to the most popular technology stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google – the FANG stocks) has been a boon for investors. Passive ETFs have become so popular that they’re potentially becoming victims of their own success. The FANG... Show More

Focus on the facts, remain unemotional

Nathan Bell

Whenever we buy a stock we have a very clear rationale for it. Although you can analyse all sorts of financial and industry details, the investment case comes down to just two or three factors. When a stock we own falls steeply our job is to work out whether our... Show More

the buy side brief

2016: Not such a bad start

Nathan Bell

It’s been a rough start to the year for most investors, but particularly those without international exposure. Most major stock indexes have fallen substantially and each day brings another statistic from 2015 showing that outside the FANG stocks (i.e. Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google) the US virtually suffered a bear... Show More

dick smith cny HotCopper US banks The Big Short

Christmas comes early in the form of Howard Stern

Nathan Bell

Christmas normally comes in the form of a jolly fat man with a long white beard dressed in a red jumpsuit, hollering ‘Ho, Ho, Ho’, as he magically climbs up and down chimneys. For Liberty Media shareholders, this year Christmas has arrived in the form of a foul mouthed, ageing... Show More

Sirius XM Liberty Media Howard Stern

Ferrari – The race to separate is almost over

Nathan Bell

In October, Ferrari took its first step toward being an independent company, with 10% of its shares listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker RACE. The remaining 90% of its shares are still owned by shareholders of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA), which is run by the highly... Show More

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Hi Mark. Whenever you perform a screen like this you need to double-check the numbers with the source documents (i.e. the company accounts). Without doing the requisite work I had assumed Crown popped up because it was flush with cash after the Macau assets were sold (again, I haven't checked this). Nonetheless, your conclusion is spot on. It's highly unlikely you'd find a well known, large-cap stock meeting Graham's criteria. That's probably been the case for decades outside periods of panic like the GFC for several reasons (including Graham's criteria simply being too restrictive in modern markets). You might find more examples amongst micro-caps, but they often have little liquidity and investing services and investors are also screening for these ideas, so it's competitive. Markets are far more efficient today compared to Graham's times, as software didn't exist to do the hard work for him. There were also far fewer investors and hedge funds around back then. Cheers Mark.

On Just 2 ASX stocks pass the Benjamin Graham filter -

Thanks for the feedback Patrick. From my limited experience driving supercars (i.e. zero), I tend to agree i.e. I don't think it will be a big issue. The company is confident that once they get someone into the new cars they won't notice too much difference, assuming there is one. If you've got your heart set on owning a Ferrari this issue isn't likely to change your mind once you've sat in the cockpit, and there are certainly pros to the turbos as well. From what I've read they still sound ok and they go faster, not a bad compromise. I look forward to having an opinion based on experience some day. Cheers Patrick.

On Ferrari – The race to separate is almost over -