Equities
Peter Wilmshurst

The biggest headwinds to value investing have been outperformance by the U.S. and extraordinary monetary policy conditions since the GFC. We've had rates go 0-negative in some countries, which hasn't happened before in monetary history. As we start seeing these conditions normalise, coupled with broader economic growth, value investing will... Show More

Macro
Peter Wilmshurst

There remain as many potential scenarios around Brexit now as there was two and a half years ago when the British voted for Brexit. Its still uncertain exactly what the May government wants, and exactly what the EU governments are willing to agree with. So, we sit here with all... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

US companies had a strong run in earnings and revenue growth during 2018, with numbers largely surprising on the upside. A run like that looks unlikely in 2019, as the benefits of substantial fiscal stimulus from US tax cuts and greater public spending wane. US companies are already signalling that... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

In 2017, emerging markets delivered some of their best returns since 2009. However, a series of headwinds – which include a stronger US dollar, lower liquidity due to rising US rates, China’s attempts at deleveraging, and uncertainty surrounding trade – have now hit. This has meant some of those gains... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

During the last quarter US economic strength led market sentiment, resulting in a widening valuation gap between the US market and the rest of the world. This widening gap implies a much more favourable backdrop for long-term returns outside the US. Expectations of non-US countries are not only lower, but... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

When it comes to investing, Australians forego their ‘globetrotter’ reputation and rarely look past local companies. In consumption, however, we are far worldlier and have embraced international brands such as Apple, Samsung, Google, BP and Toyota. Show More

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