Equities
PM Capital

In this 4 minute video, Portfolio Manager Uday Cheruvu explains how Pact Group (ASX: PGH) may benefit from the scale it has built in the Australian packaging manufacturing sector now and into the future. Show More

PM Capital

Like many companies exposed to China, the share prices Macau casinos like Sands China, MGM China and Wynn Resorts have been volatile. Kevin Bertoli, Portfolio Manager, Asian Strategies, recently travelled to Hong Kong and Macau and reports that the industry structure is improving and valuations look attractive for long term... Show More

PM Capital

Historically, our view has been that there is a supply and demand imbalance in the aged care sector, with the lack of supply and rising demand only going to be exaggerated over the next few years as the bulge bracket of the Australian population moves deeper into retirement. The proportion... Show More

Uday Cheruvu from PM Capital here, replying to Oliver Minchin's question on Altium. The reasons for decreasing piracy are not price-related but the fact that updates to systems have become more important to users. Updates allow designers access to newer features for designing electronic boards which reduces design time. This strategy of frequent updates which improve functionality is assisting to drive down piracy. Secondly, Chinese companies are exporting their designs overseas. This also forces them to buy licences in order to send authenticated designs to customers.

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Hi Ada, Yes you are correct, increased regulation will drive drown profitability and put weaker players out of business, adding further add to the demand – supply imbalance. Our original thesis when we invested Japara was that the government would see this reality and either increase funding or deregulate the industry (from a pricing perspective) and charge consumers more. However, the actions by government have gone in the other direction – ie increased regulation and lower funding – so every player in the industry is being hurt. We do not see this changing in the medium term. Regis has investments in retirement villages. Japara has also flagged that they will expand into this area and invest more capital in retirement villages. Estia’s capacity to grow is constrained due to its historic acquisition-led strategy that impinges on its capital generation. So the actions by the listed players suggest they too believe that diversifying out of aged care makes economic sense. As a result, our thesis is that there is more downside to go with these companies before earnings find a sustainable base. This, in addition to the royal commission and the potential curve balls it can throw up, limit our interest in these companies for the time being - Uday.

On Aged care under royal pressure -

Ben, Thanks for your comments and you are correct that Las Vegas, particularly in the 1990’s overstepped the mark in the transition to a ‘family destination’. However, to clarify, in regards to ‘family friendly’, we are referring to the opening of the market to a new percentage of the population that visit these gaming centres for reasons other than gambling; mass market focused, non-gaming entertainment and retail experiences. On visiting both Macau and Las Vegas, it’s clear that these two gaming centres are at different points of the continuum in their evolution. In regards to the gaming element, there is also a palpable transition towards mass-market gaming from the dominance of “high-rollers” in Macau. In our view this is a natural and secular transition of the middle-class in Asia in addition to the improvement in access/infrastructure and may likely continue for decades to come. We hope this clarifies our position and thanks again for the discussion point, regards PM CAPITAL.

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