Simon Doyle

Simon is responsible for Schroders' Australian Fixed Income and Multi-Asset capabilities. He has direct portfolio management responsibility for the Schroder Real Return Strategy, Schroder Balanced Strategy and Schroder Fixed Income Core-Plus Strategy

Expertise

Investors must tread carefully

Simon Doyle

On the back of the worst March quarter since 2008, indicators show the end of the current cycle is in sight. Trump’s jostle with China is more of a concern than his ‘war of Tweets’ with North Korea, and coupled with the inability of investors to rely on central bank... Show More

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It's right to worry about US inflation

Simon Doyle

Although much of the focus remains on the February market activity, a tipping point between unemployment and inflation in the US approaches and so inflation remains a key risk. February revealed the first cracks in the relative market stability of the last year, as higher inflation fears both drove bond... Show More

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Five things you need to know about the current market turbulence

Simon Doyle

Global markets experienced significant turbulence last week, with the Dow experiencing falls not seen since 2008. While in the moment these falls might seem unusual, it’s the low volatility of the last two years that’s truly unusual. In today's article, I share five key points to know about this turbulence. Show More

Lessons learnt since 1987

Simon Doyle

This month will mark 30 years since I started working in financial markets. While I don’t remember exactly what happened on my first day, I do remember being inherently nervous starting work just a few weeks after the 1987 stock market crash. While I don’t intend to detail a laundry... Show More

Schroders Australia ASX:GROW

Investing in a high-risk, low-return market

Simon Doyle

Current valuations across most assets tell us that future returns will be low and the risk of a significant correction is high. None of this means markets will collapse tomorrow, but it does mean that there is limited cushioning to absorb a shock. Show More

What do low return forecasts mean for funds?

Simon Doyle

The more realistic the view of what may lie ahead, the better the decisions we’ll make to prepare for it. Let’s consider our current forecasts. Our forecast methodology has been calibrated to capture both underlying structural trends and cyclical valuations. We compress these into a 3-year timeframe and express risk... Show More

Why is volatility so low?

Simon Doyle

It is widely acknowledged that the outlook for economies and markets is unusually uncertain, given the huge political changes that we are witnessing globally. It is also widely acknowledged that most assets are expensive and priced to offer sub-normal prospective returns. Why then is volatility (the VIX) so low? History... Show More

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The Risk-Return Matrix: Where does it say to invest?

Simon Doyle

A run of decent economic numbers for the US and the eurozone and the fiscal stimulus promised by US President Donald Trump are reinforcing views that core inflation will accelerate in the coming 12 months. Show More

asset allocation ASX:GROW

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Video: What should investors brace for in 2017?

Simon Doyle

In contrast to what is a relatively benign macro outlook, the starting point for key markets is more problematic. Thus achieving high real rates of return by simply hoping for strong underlying market performance would be optimistic. Show More

asset allocation ASX:GROW

The Risk-Return Matrix: Where does it say to invest?

Simon Doyle

The second half of 2016 was dominated by a recovery in global growth and an uptick in inflation, a reflationary outcome that was a major turnaround from the deflationary scenarios that dominated earlier in the year. Higher, but still-low, inflation and faster growth provided a sweet spot for equities and... Show More

asset allocation ASX:GROW

How might 2017 look for investors?

Simon Doyle

While 2016 was generally a positive years for investors, politics and economics provided big surprises and highlighted how intertwined politics and economics have become. As we head into 2017, the macro picture of reasonable economic growth, falling unemployment and low inflation belies a more complex micro-picture where extreme policy measures... Show More

asset allocation ASX:GROW

The Risk-Return Matrix: Where does it say to invest?

Simon Doyle

The challenge for investors is that valuations on most assets are at best fair, and, in most cases more demanding, meaning the risk of loss in many assets is elevated. In the context of our investment framework, there are limited assets offering appealing returns for the risk embedded in owning... Show More

What's the outlook for shares and bonds in 2017?

Simon Doyle

As 2017 looms, investors are questioning the role of central bankers and their ability to reignite growth. US President-elect Donald Trump, meanwhile, is promising fiscal stimulus. The shift of focus from monetary to fiscal policy has driven US stocks to record highs, sparked a sell-off in bonds and yield-orientated sectors... Show More

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