Tim Kelley

Telstra recently reported their half-year results - revenue, earnings and cash flow all broadly lined up with expectations so there weren’t many surprises. Although since we last looked at Telstra there have been some interesting developments. I discuss these in the following four minute video. Show More

Tim Kelley

One business we have admired for quite some years is NZ-listed Freightways Limited (NZX:FRE), which provides express package services throughout New Zealand, as well as information management and mail services. Show More

Tim Kelley

With additional details being recently released on the Coles demerger capital structure and directors, the market appears to be largely positive on the transaction. Is Wesfarmers planning acquisitions for the future or should they stick to organic growth strategies? Show More

Tim Kelley

Many investment managers use quantitative screens to focus their attention on the investment opportunities that are most likely to reward close study, and we are certainly among them. Over the years we have built software tools that make it easy for us to analyse the historic performance of a wide... Show More

Tim Kelley

Over the last two years, the ASX200 accumulation index has delivered a total return of around 25% which has been a pretty solid result for equity investors generally. During that same period, however, Telstra shares have delivered a negative total return of close to 30%, making Telstra the weakest performer... Show More

Tim Kelley

Recently, Wesfarmers Limited (ASX: WES) announced its intention to demerge the Coles business into a separate ASX-listed company. While WES will retain up to a 20 per cent stake in Coles, the demerger effectively splits the company into two separate entities, with WES owning Bunnings, Kmart, Target, and Officeworks, as... Show More

Tim Kelley

Most investors would be familiar with the sorts of returns a successful stock-picker might aim to produce. Often, a fund will have an explicit target of beating the market by an amount of, say, 5 per cent per annum over rolling 5-year periods. It is interesting then to think about... Show More

Tim Kelley

We recently undertook an analysis to try to better understand the structure and behaviour of the equity market, with a view to identifying cause and effect relationships that drive investment performance. Firstly, we organised the equity market into industry clusters based on similarity of investment performance. This is similar in... Show More

Tim Kelley

Last week saw an abrupt gear change, with global equity markets taking a step backwards and volatility suddenly spiking much higher although so far, the market disruption hasn’t had much of an impact on overall valuations. In this video Tim gives you a perspective on how here at Montgomery we... Show More

Tim Kelley

Bitcoin has enjoyed an extraordinary surge in both value and public attention recently. The chart below maps the rise in the price of a Bitcoin in USD over the last few years, and a similar chart could probably be plotted for the number of column inches, the number of internet... Show More

Tim Kelley

It seems reasonable to expect that the rate of adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) will increase markedly in years to come. Within a handful of years, it is thought that advancing technology will make EVs competitive with internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles on a lifecycle cost basis, and at that... Show More

Tim Kelley

Only 12 months back, Telstra (ASX: TLS) shares were trading at around $5.00. The fall since then has been precipitous. Which has got a lot of investors asking: does it finally represent good value? Show More

Tim Kelley

Over the years, Montgomery has written various articles on the headwinds facing the Australian supermarket industry, with a particular focus on the rise of discounters like Aldi, and more recently we have observed that Woolworths has taken steps to reverse a long trend of weak like-for-like sales performance, and begun... Show More

Tim Kelley

Humans are hard-wired, it seems, with an affinity for narrative over data. When the equity market falls over the course of a day, for example, we want an explanation for what happened. Something vague and unprovable like “profit taking” will do nicely. This explanation offers no real insight into the... Show More

Tim Kelley

Broker reports are one of the most widely-used information sources for equity investors of all stripes, and there is no doubt they can be a very useful source of background information on an industry or company. In addition, they provide financial forecasts, valuation estimates and, of course, the analyst’s overall... Show More

Tim Kelley

Over the next few months Telstra will make some important capital allocation decisions, including what to do with billions of dollars in payments from NBN Co. Naturally, investors are eagerly awaiting the announcements. So, what can they expect to see? Show More

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