UBS Asset Management

The correlation between earnings revisions and share prices and the impact on investor behaviour is well-known. Clearly this suggests either sell-side analysts (rather than actual investors on the buy-side) drive share prices, or most buy-side investors don't form their own views and just follow brokers. Show More

UBS Asset Management

There are many sensible reasons for investing in Australian small caps. For example: Access to earlier-stage, higher-growth businesses; a broader range of sector opportunities to pick from; an ability to more easily back future trends. As always, the golden rule with small companies is to leave it to the professionals.... Show More

UBS Asset Management

Our small cap investment process involves building our own cash flow based valuation models and ranking stocks on a balance of growth, operating margin and capital required. We are very careful to account for the amount of cash required for fixed assets, working capital and intangibles. This process often keeps... Show More

UBS Asset Management

Below we discuss 3 high conviction undervalued opportunities which we believe are fairly unique holdings particularly together in the same portfolio. All are cheap according to our conservative, sensitivity tested and mid-cycle anchored DCF. In addition, we believe fundamental industry economic risks are to the upside. Show More

UBS Asset Management

Most investors have some exposure to Australia's largest listed companies in their portfolio. The dividend yield on offer combined with exposure to well-known franchises provides a level of comfort and stability to the core component of a portfolio. However, our domestic stock market is concentrated around key industry segments –... Show More

UBS Asset Management

We have had a long-term position in lithium miners Orocobre (ORE) and Pilbara (PLS). We have varied our investment in these companies over the last few years, as their rate of development and journey toward profitability has followed a wave-like pattern. However, we have always had one eye on the... Show More

UBS Asset Management

Link Group has been listed for less than two years, but it is a business we have watched closely and have used a recent period of weakness to build a significant stake. It's also not well covered by brokers, with Factset showing 5 covering Link against 16 covering the similar... Show More

UBS Asset Management

We continue to like Caltex Australia. Transport fuel earnings will continue to grow due to the continued shift to premium fuels (i.e. more European cars and the greater penetration of diesel passenger vehicles), growth in non-fuels convenience and a general increase in pricing to reflect a return on the store... Show More

UBS Asset Management

Early last week Brambles (BXB) downgraded its sales and EBIT guidance to +5% and +3% respectively for 1h17 (on a constant currency basis). This compares to previous full year FY17 guidance of 7–9% sales and 9–11% EBIT growth, affirmed as recently as November. Management has pinned the downgrade to issues... Show More

UBS Asset Management

This week two of our significant investments announced a merger of equals and both announced earnings upgrades. It was a nice Xmas present for UBS Small caps. To recap. We are long term believers in the outdoor media space for a variety of reasons. I outline the key reasons below.... Show More

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