Equity indices everywhere were in the red last year, yet the three most tipped stocks from the 2018 Livewire reader survey, Afterpay Touch, CSL and BHP, all finished well in the black. They gained (excluding dividends) 107.7%, 31.0%, and 15.8% respectively, or 52% on average. While the order has changed,... Show More
For two years now, Roger Montgomery has been warning investors of a pending housing crash. While these claims were initially met with scepticism, as the data has deteriorated significantly in Sydney and Melbourne, more investors are coming to accept this thesis. According to CoreLogic’s Home Property Value Index, prices for... Show More
Despite a soft US lead, the local index opened higher and didn’t really look back today, particularly in the last few hours of trade where the bulk of the rally happened. There was no real news to drive the market higher, at least nothing that hit the boards in the... Show More
After recent market volatility, Portfolio Manager Uday Cheruvu writes on some ways to get to the bottom of a tech company's true value. Show More
It may take a while yet before the general commentariat is willing to accept that dynamics for global equities have now irrevocably changed. However, on my observation, today's equity markets are increasingly showcasing the main characteristics of a bear market. Show More
We have noted of late, increased commentary about particular ASX listed companies that are perceived to be expensive on traditional measures - without regard for their actual business models. In this wire, we specifically discuss companies using 'scalable business models', define what this term means, and outline two examples. Show More
Tech - it’s a sector that local investors just love to hate, but if you didn’t own a handful of these high PE names of late you missed out on some stellar price action. In August just four technology stocks generated ~60% of the returns for the small ords. Show More
The recent whipsaw of capital back towards higher growth / higher valuation businesses has been most evident across the more growth-heavy small and mid-cap equities space, particularly following significant contributions from companies within the emerging technology and IT sectors. Show More
It has long been difficult to place rationale around valuations in certain areas of the market. While the supermodels get all the spotlights, it’s the cardigan wearing brigade that seem more like a solid investment, allowing scope for many different futures — both good and not so good — without... Show More
It seems like just weeks ago that February reporting season was wrapping up, but believe it or not, reporting season is upon us again. The Australian market has performed solidly in the period since, having gained 4.4% since the end of February. But this number hides the dichotomy that has... Show More
Around 12 months ago, I shared my 10 predictions for FY18. These included a peak for the housing market, struggling retail stocks, and global macroeconomic strength. It was great to see that a lot of these predictions proved true. With FY18 now over, Livewire have asked for my predictions for... Show More
What does the new financial year hold for investors? We asked a panel of nine respected managers from across the markets for the 5 key issues for FY19. Read on for the key points of their analysis on LICs, small caps, big caps, income, fixed interest, growth, global, Asia, and... Show More
Another financial year draws to a close which presents an opportunity to look forward to the financial year ahead. We believe FY19 will involve more of the same, and some noteworthy changes. In this wire, we discuss our top 5 considerations for smaller companies’ investors who are aiming for out-performance... Show More
While the month-end reports for February will indicate the ASX Small Ordinaries finished the February reporting period dead flat, it would be difficult to find any smaller cap investors this month that would summarise the reporting period as dreary. Show More
Reporting season has just concluded and we've lined up two of the best-read managers in Australia to get their take on the health of Australian corporates. Chris Prunty from QVG Capital argues that we've just witnessed 'the best reporting season in years' and with that comes a raft of new... Show More
Last reporting season, stocks that “beat” were up +3.10% on the day, and then added an extra +13% to be up +15.7% 4 mths after reporting. The ASX 200 rallied +6.2% over this same time. These stocks had a “lower short interest” at 2.1%, versus 3.1% for the misses. The... Show More
At the end of 2016 we surveyed contributors and readers for their top stock pick for this year. Our friends at Sharesight polled their users too, and have just updated us on which of these three groups is in the lead… Show More
There has been some recent commentary from a number of market participants suggesting that the US tech sector is “crowded” and “expensive”. In reality, the valuation of Alphabet compares very favourably to the Australian tech sector and the broader market. Show More
Successful tech stocks can build a business from stealing market share by outplaying incumbents. However, these disruptors can in time then become the disrupted. To test the outlook five big tech stocks, Roger Montgomery from The Montgomery fund and Neil Carter from IFM Investors, join Jeremy Hook from TMS Capital... Show More
Local market delivered the first solid positive day in over a week on the optimism that US Hurricane damage was better than expected. Growth worries drove commodities lower over the weekend. Local market bounced on the open on the back of the banks as global investors increased exposure to cover... Show More
