There's a saying that investors should never try to catch a falling safe. To elaborate on that phrase, we like to let the safe hit the ground, see a few dollars fall out, and then walk up and collect a portion of the loot. Show More
Buying unloved stocks is part of the DNA at Forager. Most of the funds’ excess returns over almost eight years have come from buying stocks that other investors hated at the time we acquired them. Think Service Stream in 2013 or Cardno in mid-2016. Show More
We have used the megatrends framework as a template for several years, simply as a way of formulating a framework for how we start filtering down the investible universe into stocks that we ultimately focus on. We revisit this every 6-12 months to assess where the opportunities are to find... Show More
The first week of reporting season has already thrown up a few grenades with Isentia and Navitas both missing expectations. In this short video the panel discuss sectors and stocks that they like and how they handle a holding that gets crushed after missing investor expectations. Show More
Local market climbed out of US weak sentiment to deliver a positive day on the back of better commodities and China data. US data out tonight will deliver more clarity on the US Fed outlook while underwhelming US reporting season needs to maintain the pace to support the market multiples.... Show More
Local market bounced back from yesterday’s underperformance on the back of strong commodities and AUDUSD. Banks were up on currency/yield trade while Resources were up on commodity bounce. Aussie CPI data tomorrow…high AUDUSD means outlook is for weaker inflation…unlikely to back any RBA rate hike scare story in 2017. The... Show More
Local market jumped up on the global optimism before fading into a negative day on the back of terror attack in UK and US budget requests. The best performers were Gold, IT and Retail while Banks, Miners and Telcos were the worst performers. Since the start of Q2, we have... Show More
Local market continued the slide on weak commodities to deliver fourth consecutive negative day. Commodities keep falling and resource sectors continue to lead the market lower. MQG delivered a beat…was trading like it was on an upgrade cycle in recent days…but even that could not push the bank sector higher….WBC... Show More
Local market fell from the start before making a slight recovery to close for second consecutive negative day. ANZ result earlier this week turned the bank sector sentiment and the premium is unwinding. TPM downgrade in 2016 drove the reality check into high PE stocks…will the VOC downgrade be the... Show More
After a brutal ‘confession season’, the small cap market is littered with former market darlings now trading more than 30% off their recent highs. So in this episode of Buy Hold Sell, two small cap specialists, Simon Shields from Monash Investors and Dean Fergie from Cyan Investment Management, talk us... Show More
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With the quarter drawing to a close, it’s time for our first check up on the performance of Livewire readers’ stock ideas from our 2017 outlook survey. This table highlights the ten leaders, as well as the ten laggards. You can access the spreadsheet for all 263 stocks below. The... Show More
Local market fell on the open before recovering to finish a positive day on the back of the Chinese NPC update despite US Fed chair JY more or less confirming the rate rise cycle. Resources and TLS drove the market higher while Consumer Discretionary and Health Care weighed on the... Show More
In case reporting season kept you busy, we've summarised five top wires in February for you. Peter Quinton’s top ten picks for 2017, our fund manager earnings results review, and Buy Hold Sell with ‘Quality stocks on sale’ all deliver useful stock ideas. On big picture thinking, we bring you... Show More
Last week marked the busiest week of the current reporting season. With most of the smaller companies reporting there was no shortage of stocks to profile. We take a look at three of these businesses, how they have fared during the reporting period and what this means for the businesses... Show More
A group of Australia’s leading Fund Managers have each picked one stock they believe delivered a notable result this week. Sectors covered were diverse, including energy, tourism, materials, media, services, and consumer discretionary. The common thread among the outperformers is they have all ridden industry dynamics - and executed well... Show More
Isentia, the Australian-based media monitoring company, is the latest market star to fall from grace, down 36% on the day of its results. Isentia enjoyed a market cap touching almost $1bn at its peak, but is now wallowing at almost one third of that hefty valuation. Show More
Local market bounced back from early losses on negative sentiment and CBA trading ex div to finish in the positive. The result updates continued to fall into three main camps…(1) Solid result surprise driving upgrades from relatively cheap levels like WTC and MMS (2) Meeting expectations and driving short covering... Show More
The somewhat lackadaisical market sentiment leading into the February reporting season stands in sharp contrast with the hefty profit upgrades by analysts over the past four months. Depending on whose numbers we take as guidance, average profit growth (EPS) for the Australian share market this financial year increased over that... Show More
Towards the end of 2016, we ran a survey with Livewire readers on key market issues for the year ahead. We reported on the twenty most frequently picked stocks from this survey in this popular wire: Show More
Following the big falls in share price for some of the high-priced growth stocks he identified on Livewire in February 2016 https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/30501 we caught up with Jeremy Bendeich, Chief Investment Officer at Avoca Investment Management, to find out if they were looking more attractive. “We think that some of those... Show More