IPH

Mathan Somasundaram

Market bounced hard on the news that FBI gave a clear run for the market preferred Democrat candidate for the US presidency. Every sector except gold had a bounce but market has ignored three key elements. When it comes to this US election, nothing can be discounted and nothing can... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market resumed belting position and investors were not holding back ahead of the US election. Just about every sector was in the firing line and RBA flip flopping was never going to help sentiment. Our market has delivered negative returns for the 9 out of the last 11 days as... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market took a break from taking a belting as the US futures turned positive during our lunch time. US Fed sat on the hands as expected while BOE expected to follow the no action camp. The macro risk of US elections has been weighing on the market. The market prefers... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market took some punishment today ahead of the US Fed update. The macro risk of US Fed and BOE update before US elections have been weighing on the market. Small caps are down over 10% from the highs while large caps are down over 5%. The recent extra pain in... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market gave up pretty much all the bounce we got yesterday on a low volume Melbourne Cup day when Australia goes MIA for a few hours and Victoria goes MIA for the whole day. The first stage of central banks download was done today with BOJ and RBA. As expected... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market bounced back today after the worst weekly performance for four months. The local market has run into central bank worries, US election uncertainty, rising bond yields and weaker domestic consumer data. This week is all about Central Banks…RBA and BOJ on Tuesday while US Fed and BOE out on... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market closed negative ahead of a raft of macro data and US reporting season worries. The data continues to support US Fed rate hike while China data remains robust. The US reporting season had a good start with financials and that may continue with better rate cycle outlook. The local... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market closed mainly flat on a very volatile and choppy day. Aussie market turned out a negative weekly return to break a three straight positive weekly run. Higher oil prices and better inflation outlook from China should help market sentiment, but the markets are concerned about US tonight. We have... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market closed slightly positive on a volatile choppy day. We have a few Fed speeches to come tomorrow while the last one calmed the market on rate rise speed. FOMC minutes to come out tomorrow night while US reporting season also kicks off tonight with Alcoa. US market likely to... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market opened positive and then sold down gradually to finish slightly positive. Our market was waiting to see the global reaction before moving positive. The US Fed move is now firmly in Dec. The US election worries are also subsiding as Republican candidate’s debate performance was not seen by either... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market fell on the open with uncertain central bank outlook before trading sideways and choppy for the rest of the day. US job data tonight will be key catalyst short term. We remain of the view that we should see some economic weakness into the election while US Fed will... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Market kept the positive global momentum going all day. US jobless tonight and non-farm payroll tomorrow will be key catalysts to market’s perception of US Fed rate outlook. We remain of the view that we should see some weakness into the election while US Fed will continue to move towards... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market maintains the negative run on “Fed Scare” and closed negative to deliver third straight negative week despite positive sentiment in commodities. The better than expected China data yesterday against weaker than expected US data overnight helped to support commodities. Better commodities drove resource sector higher while yield trade... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market fell on the open on “Fed Scare” and closed negative despite positive non mining domestic capex and better than expected China data. The local data was mixed with retail data disappointing while the capex data was on the positive side. China was the real positive catalyst with stimulus... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market jumped out on the US positive lead and then just fell apart to finish a slight positive day with “Fed Scare”. The risk catalyst for the market has moved from bottom-up stocks update to top-down macro updates. We have RBA speech tomorrow followed by Fed speech, ADP employment... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market fell on the open with US Fed rate hike worries and tried unsuccessfully to make a recovery for the rest of the day while WES and WPL trading ex div added to the negative performance. There is no macro risk bigger than US Fed putting up rates. The... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market fell on the open before a mid-day bounce ran into more selling. The reporting season is over as far as the market is concerned. We are back into macro madness. There are a few next week but the main course is done as far silly season is concerned.... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market fell on the open with weak resources and banks while a mid-day recovery on supermarket short covering before falling again. The main story for the day was the Supermarkets and the outperformance in all three stocks were mainly due to short covering as the outlook remains weak and... Show More

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market was up and down on lack of macro direction and finished a slight positive in line with global sentiment. We are getting to the last few days of the reporting season and the market is looking forward to the US Fed update from Jackson Hole Wyoming on Friday... Show More