Recession risk

The message from bond markets to stock investors

Livewire News

Risky assets including equities have surged following the U.K. electorate's historic vote to leave the European Union, but government bonds have also rallied; two things that ought to suggest different outlooks for economic growth. Analysts are pointing to the flattening U.S. yield curve as evidence of slowing expectations of economic growth. A model maintained by Deutsche Bank AG's Steven... Show More

Worried about a recession? One powerful group of traders are betting we won’t sink into one!

Avatar fallback

Are you fretting that we could be poised to slump into a recession? No one will blame you as both equities and credit markets are pricing in a strong probability that Australia’s golden 29-year recession-free run is coming to an abrupt end. The S&P/ASX 200 is threatening to slip into... Show More

The US rates reversal playbook

Angus Coote

We have written at length about the US Federal Reserve attempting to hike rates and the flow on effects that a series of hikes would unleash. We suggested that the Fed would be forced to firstly pause on any further rate hikes, and then ultimately reverse course. This is exactly... Show More