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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Latest: Macro

Macro

Why the RBA won't follow the Federal Reserve (and what it means for your money)

Central banks are starting to splinter, and that has big implications for whatever asset class you are in.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Troubled times ahead?

All good things come to an end - eventually. In this case, the good things are the rate cuts and the "eventually" is yet to be written.
Gopi Karunakaran
Ardea Investment Management
Macro

Australia's corporate insolvencies have hit their highest level in at least 25 years

The monthly number of insolvencies has reached the highest level since ASIC began compiling statistics in 1999.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Implications of a changing world

Markets face headwinds from geopolitics, protectionism, deficits, and demographics, but AI is one of several causes for optimism
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

Progress in reducing NZ underlying inflation stalled in Q1, likely frustrating the RBNZ

NZ inflation showed a continued striking contrast between weak goods prices and persistent services inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The (renewed) worry list for shares - and 5 reasons to remain optimistic

Shares are vulnerable to a bout of volatility - but here are 5 reasons why the trend will likely remain up.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Signal or Noise

7 commodities (and 8 stocks) to watch in this complex market

This episode's Signal or Noise panel is split on whether this breakout is a false signal or a generational opportunity.
DEG
PDN
+4
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

5 reasons why Australian inflation will not follow the US

Does the recent uptick in US inflation data mean that Australian inflation will also remain higher than expected in 2024?
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

NZ OCR held steady at 5.50%, US CPI rises 0.4% m/m

Weekly Update | 12th April, 2024
BHP
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

3 reasons for investor optimism despite global challenges

We believe there is plenty investors can take solace from including positive structural trends across credit markets, technology and ESG.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

US inflation data torpedoes June cut hopes. What’s the path of US interest rates now?

Yesterday's US CPI data was worse than expected, so what's the timing of the US interest rate cuts now? (Hint: far fewer and much later!)
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Signal or Noise

What's hot in commodities right now

In this edition of the Signal or Noise Rapid Fire, we take on the commodities world with lightning speed.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Higher US inflation, derails Fed rate cut plans and poses a threat to risky assets

Higher core inflation will disappoint the Fed and shake optimism about risk assets.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Dude, where’s my recession? How to invest for diverging markets

Monetary policy is starting to diverge, with the impact on markets being the story of returns in 2024. Here's what you should know.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

March jobs report shows a picture of strength

The March jobs report brought yet more evidence of a very strong labor market. Payroll gains exceeded 300,000, beating almost all Wall Street forecasts. Yet, average...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

US ISM Manufacturing PMI records 50.3, Crude oil inventories rise to 3.2M barrels

Weekly Update | 5th April, 2024
COH
CSL
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

March podcasts: sell Australia, buy the world

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

How ex-RBA Governor Phil Lowe would fix Australia's broken tax system

Plus, a revealing look at the state of our economy - and perhaps a revealing look at ourselves.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Signal or Noise

Can the "everything rally" keep going?

Signal or Noise is back with its first global multi-asset show for 2024 - and the divergence in central banks is taking centre stage.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

3 parts of the economy keeping inflation high (and making the RBA's job tough)

“Now people, stop what you're doing, and listen to what I have to say, cause inflation is in the nation and it's about to put us all away.” - Inflation blues classic....
Andrew Canobi
Franklin Templeton
Macro

US core inflation picks up in early 2024

The path of inflation returning to the Fed's 2% target remains "bumpy".
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Signal or Noise

The Australian economy is in a "per capita" recession - but does it matter?

Signal or Noise returns with its next episode on Tuesday. But if you can't wait that long, here is a sneak peek!
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Persistent services inflation contrasts with falling goods prices

Underlying inflation is tracking in line with the RBA's forecast, with strong services inflation contrasting with falling goods prices.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

7 lasting impacts from the COVID pandemic

There are seven key lasting impacts from the Coronavirus pandemic; I explore them in this wire.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Credit maturity wall: Not as difficult a climb as it may seem

A much-flagged risk for this year is that, due to the Fed’s 2022-23 hiking cycle, the wall of maturing debt will face significantly higher refinancing costs,...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
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