Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Expert Insights

Top 3 observations on Australia's biggest growth opportunity

On a recent visit to China John Lake stepped into an elevator in Shanghai looked down and noticed he was sharing a ride with a delivery robot. It was like a scene out...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Be careful what you wish for

When, a couple of years ago, Saudi Arabia was twisting the arms of Russia and 22 other oil producing countries to stem the flow of crude, the oil price was already off...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

The economics of aging

The following is an extract from a note that was recently sent to investors in the Montaka Global Fund. There is a significant change in demographics that is currently...
Andrew Macken
Montaka Global Investments
Expert Insights

A big shift in China

For many years China has had a single focus of delivering high GDP growth. John Lake from Paradice Investment Management has recently returned from a visit to China...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

What causes recessions, and can we predict them?

The US economic expansion has just become the second longest on record. If it continues beyond mid-2019, it will be number one. Its longevity is probably due to a...
abrdn .
abrdn
Macro

Navigating a peak in the global growth cycle

Over the past month our leading indicators of the industrial cycle have shown signs of peaking. The real question is whether this suggests the industrial cycle is...
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Shifting global trade patterns bring new opportunities.

In his latest investment insight, Rob Lovelace, Vice Chairman of Capital Group, explores the profound changes occurring in global trade and key themes investors should...
Paul Hennessy
Capital Group
Expert Insights

Who wins if the AUD falls?

Traditionally, yields on Australian government bonds have been higher than their US counterparts. In fact, the last time US bonds traded at a premium was nearly 20...
BXB
COH
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Looking to alternatives in a rising rate environment

Recent weeks have seen global growth continue to push ahead in a robust and synchronised fashion. Similarly, and much as hoped, wage and inflation data have stepped...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Introduction to the adaptive markets hypothesis

The following is an extract from a note that was recently sent to investors in the Montaka Global Fund. The second best book that I read in 2017 was Professor Andrew...
Andrew Macken
Montaka Global Investments
Expert Insights

What's changing, where it's going and how you should play it

Jonathan Shapiro from the Australian Financial Review interviews Brett Gillespie from Ellertson Capital. In the first of Livewire’s Masters Series videos you’ll gain a...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Goldilocks has packed her bags

A couple of weeks ago, I suggested that 2018 would be the year in which we waved goodbye to Goldilocks. By that, I meant that the unusually favourable conditions...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

It's right to worry about US inflation

Although much of the focus remains on the February market activity, a tipping point between unemployment and inflation in the US approaches and so inflation remains a...
Simon Doyle
Schroders
Macro

The truth about tarriffs

Last week, the White House announced tariffs on imported steel and aluminum of 25% and 10% respectively – a move that sparked global indignation and threats of a trade...
abrdn .
abrdn
Expert Insights

One way to hedge against inflation

Preserving capital whilst maintaining real income in an inflationary environment is an important challenge for investors to consider. Andrew Lockhart, Managing Partner...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Can the Aussie dollar still diversify risk?

Twenty-six years of uninterrupted economic expansion. Australia’s recent performance is now unmatched in history. While a handful of factors have been key to this...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Why the Aussie is up and the Greenback is down

Has the recent weakness in the US dollar surprised you? Has the strength in the Aussie dollar had you scratching your head at all? To many, including your author,...
Andrew Macken
Montaka Global Investments
Macro

The five charts the experts are watching right now

Bond markets recently slapped equity investors in the face with a 50-basis point reminder of who is really in charge here. As the famous quote from James Carville...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Rapid Fire

Don’t bet against the US recovery

There’s nothing quite like local knowledge to give you an insiders view of a foreign country. As the strength of the US economy remains a key focus for investors,...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Five things you need to know about the current market turbulence

Global markets experienced significant turbulence last week, with the Dow experiencing falls not seen since 2008. While in the moment these falls might seem unusual,...
Simon Doyle
Schroders
Macro

Why it’s too early to retreat from risk

Although confronted with a maturing growth cycle and the likelihood of more modest returns, the catalysts typically leading to past downturns appear largely absent -...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

How the GFC is reshaping economics

The severity of the global financial crisis, and the weakness of the subsequent recovery, triggered much soul-searching among the economics profession. The global...
Paul Diggle
Paul Diggle
Aberdeen Standard Investments
Macro

An uncomfortable balance

The recovery in global stock markets has turned into one of the strongest bull markets on record, eclipsed only by the 1990s bubble in technology, media and telecoms....
Alva Devoy
Alva Devoy
Fidelity International
Macro

Chiming in on Crypto Madness

“Bitcoin has become one of the world’s hottest investments, a bubble inflated by social media, loose capital in search of the newest new thing”. You could be forgiven...
Alex Shevelev
Forager
Macro

2018: A balancing act

Most of the time investors don’t need to think too much about market timing or asset allocation. The long-term trajectory of financial markets is up and the only...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
2276-2300 of 2352