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Latest
Buy Hold Sell
Listed Series 2024
Series
Buy Hold Sell
Fund in Focus
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Signal or Noise
Success and More Interesting Stuff
The Pitch
The Rules of Investing
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Categories
Asset Allocation
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cash rate
Latest news and analysis on cash rate
Macro
April 26, 2024 06:58
Higher inflation should see the RBA revise up its outlook
History suggests that there is the risk that the RBA revises up its longer term forecasts of inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
April 26, 2024 06:58
Macro
February 15, 2024 16:04
A spike in unemployment on flat employment as hiring patterns change
A large spike in Australian unemployment and flat employment looks affected by changing hiring patterns.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
February 15, 2024 16:04
Macro
February 02, 2024 16:30
Policy rules and risks to current market pricing of interest rates
CCI used policy rules to judge the risks around market pricing of rates in the US, euro area and Australia.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
February 02, 2024 16:30
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Macro
November 09, 2023 12:21
National income rebounds and companies keep hiring
Business turnover rebounded in Q3, while payroll jobs continue to trend higher.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
November 09, 2023 12:21
Macro
November 03, 2023 07:42
Markets are less sure the Fed and RBA will hit their inflation targets
Market measures of expected inflation have picked up, which is unusual this late in the cycle.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
November 03, 2023 07:42
Macro
November 01, 2023 09:51
A broad recovery in world house prices
House prices are buoyant ahead of an expected rise in unemployment
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
November 01, 2023 09:51
Macro
October 26, 2023 08:56
A likely "material upward revision" to the RBA's inflation outlook
The big forecast miss on Q3 inflation risks a slower return of inflation to target
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 26, 2023 08:56
Macro
October 25, 2023 12:59
RBA should hike in November on higher inflation
Underlying inflation is tracking well above the RBA's forecast profile
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 25, 2023 12:59
Macro
October 19, 2023 16:40
Higher Q3 inflation should see the RBA raise rates
The very tight labour market is still easing a little, ahead of key inflation data next week.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 19, 2023 16:40
Macro
August 17, 2023 15:08
Average weekly earnings grow strongly
Another measure of wages shows labour costs are growing strongly.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 17, 2023 15:08
Macro
August 16, 2023 12:28
Some colour on the distribution of pay rises
Workers securing pay rises are achieving large increases.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 16, 2023 12:28
Macro
June 28, 2023 13:17
High underlying inflation places pressure for a July rate hike
Underlying inflation remains uncomfortably high.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 28, 2023 13:17
Macro
June 23, 2023 18:45
History points to the risk of tight monetary policy
Past rate hike cycles have seen tight monetary policy to control inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 23, 2023 18:45
Macro
June 07, 2023 15:47
Strong unit labour costs continue to drive high domestic inflation
Strong unit labour costs account for the bulk of high domestic inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 07, 2023 15:47
Macro
June 06, 2023 16:03
The RBA hikes again & signals the risk of more to come
The RBA is worried by high inflation and wants to anchor expectations.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 06, 2023 16:03
Macro
March 24, 2023 15:53
Lessons from past financial crises for the RBA’s monetary policy
A central bank will prioritise financial stability over dealing with high inflation if the instability evolves into a financial crisis.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
March 24, 2023 15:53
Macro
March 21, 2023 12:29
The RBA strongly signals a pause in April
The RBA will consider pausing in raising rates at its April board meeting.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
March 21, 2023 12:29
Asset Allocation
November 01, 2022 14:59
Australian credit: When liquidity dries up
With the La Niña weather pattern inundating us with rain this past year, it’s hard to imagine that drought is looming, but as central banks continue to tighten, the...
Shan Kwee
Janus Henderson
November 01, 2022 14:59
Macro
October 05, 2022 11:58
Five reasons why the RBA was right to slow down and the top is near
The RBA has increased its cash rate again but slowed the pace to +0.25% which took the cash rate to 2.6%. This was in line with our view and a slowing “at some...
Shane Oliver
AMP
October 05, 2022 11:58
Property
June 28, 2022 11:57
What a 3.2% cash rate will mean for property prices and household savings
At the time of writing, market pricing is looking for the cash rate to reach 3.20% by the end of 2022, which would be an even faster-tightening cycle than that seen...
Pete Wargent
AllenWargent Property Buyers
June 28, 2022 11:57
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