global economy

Short-term events have been put under the microscope recently. Conflict, supply-chain shortages and inflation have all contributed to inevitable rate hikes and rampant...

While the Evergrande episode continued, Fantasia, a Chinese property developer, missed its $205 million bond repayment on 4 October. The latter is making the headline...

It’s fair to say that small-government, free-market ideas have dominated the political economies of many countries for the past few decades. They’ve been so persuasive...

The Delta variant has become the predominant strain of COVID-19 in much of the world. In response, we're seeing a return to lockdowns and other socially...

Welcome to Q2! Things have moved fast since my original post (both in terms of market movements and the general consensus/sentiment). So I thought it would be helpful...

As we’ve highlighted in the two previous quarterly asset allocation valuation publications, (pretty much) everything is expensive. Abundant liquidity has pushed...

The RBA’s decision to cut interest rates to a record low of 0.1 per cent while announcing a quantitative easing program of $100 billion brings Australia’s central bank...

The COVID-19 pandemic and associated shutdowns of economic activity are an enormous negative growth shock that is causing unprecedentedly deep recessions almost...

In what follows, I wish to deal with how the UK’s engagement with China will stress and strain in the near-term, but should inevitably see them collaborate in a way...

Is it safe to say it’s over? I think so. It’s possible the recovery has been too far, too fast. Markets could very easily fall from here. But the economy is already...

Although the second quarter of 2020 will mark the worst quarter for United States and global growth since World War II, market uncertainty and peak fear have passed...

Chris Watling, Chief Investment Officer at Longview Economics, believes that markets are entering the second year of a ‘mini-cycle upswing’ which typically lasts...

Coronavirus has thrown an ‘unknown unknown’ into the mix of the global economy, being both a demand and supply shock of significant magnitude. Importantly for...

There are a few misconceptions about the global economic outlook that I want to set straight. Between historical realities, current trends, and leading indicators...

While equity markets are pricing Nirvana for global growth ahead, geopolitics and global growth show only very tentative signs that they will follow. Is it the great...

The bond market is often seen as the most accurate indicator of what lies ahead for an economy, or at least what investors believe lies ahead. If the current gyrations...

Here's some of the standout charts on my radar. I aim to pick a good mix of charts covering key global macro trends, and ones which highlight risks and opportunities...

Last month we published our take on one of the biggest economic discussions today – Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).Most of the public debate to date has centred...

In this short video I discuss Montgomery Global’s four-step investing process by reviewing a core holding in our global portfolios. If you are interested in the...

We have written on the China “marvel” before and continue to scratch our head on this enigma and the sustainability of it. You have to give them huge credit for what...