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house prices
Latest news and analysis on house prices
Fixed Income
March 05, 2023 13:03
If you can’t earn 9pc, you’re better off in cash
The “new normal” of low rates for long is being replaced by a return to the “old normal” of cash offering a return above expected inflation
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
March 05, 2023 13:03
Macro
February 06, 2023 06:31
Aussie house price losses exceed 10%, Sydney losses breach 14%: 43 year record in sight
The great Aussie housing crash is about to best a 43 year record, almost certainly in the next month...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
February 06, 2023 06:31
Macro
February 03, 2023 11:16
Aussie house price crash about to pass through all-time record of an 11% peak-to-trough loss...
We forecast Aussie house price declines would breach the 10% threshold by Q1 2023, and that looks like it is playing out right now...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
February 03, 2023 11:16
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Macro
January 08, 2023 00:26
Historic drop in house prices ahead
The early data suggests the housing market correction continues with gusto in 2023...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
January 08, 2023 00:26
Macro
December 31, 2022 23:50
Worst house price declines in 42 years, with more to come...
Aussie house prices fell in 2022 by their largest margin since records began in 1980...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
December 31, 2022 23:50
Macro
December 26, 2022 23:42
The great regime change: growth and cheap money are dead
This inflation crisis has changed the world and asset prices forever, and will lead to a fundamental shift in the way things work.
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
December 26, 2022 23:42
Macro
December 16, 2022 04:10
House price falls are not slowing
The latest data from CoreLogic underscores the point that Australia's record housing crash is not slowing right now. The first chart below shows the 3 month annualised...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
December 16, 2022 04:10
Macro
December 05, 2022 15:23
No evidence of a housing market bottom
Contrary to the “hopeium” out there, there is currently zero evidence that the great Aussie housing crash is bottoming out. The most constructive thing we can say is...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
December 05, 2022 15:23
Macro
November 29, 2022 04:57
Aussie house prices fall another >1% in November
In the first 28 days of November, Aussie home values have lost another 1% plus based on CoreLogic's 5 capital city index, bringing the cumulative draw-down to 7.7%...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
November 29, 2022 04:57
Macro
November 28, 2022 06:53
Interest rate shock just around the corner
The Reserve Bank of Australia has a massive trick up its sleeve. The potency of this gambit is still very much underappreciated. In its latest financial stability...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
November 28, 2022 06:53
Macro
November 22, 2022 07:24
Sydney house prices have fallen 11.1%, declining at a 17% annual rate, while Brisbane prices fall at 20% annual rate
So there is good news and bad news. The bad news is that national house prices are falling at a record 14% annual rate based on the last three months of data from...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
November 22, 2022 07:24
Macro
November 13, 2022 07:39
Aussie house prices now down 7.1%, and falling at a 14.6% annual pace
Aussie home values have now lost 7.1% from their May peak (at the time of the first RBA hike), and have been falling at a 14.6% annual pace over the last three...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
November 13, 2022 07:39
Macro
October 22, 2022 10:08
RBA predicted almost no house price declines when it hiked rates, but now expects the biggest declines ever...
In a fascinating RBA freedom of information disclosure dumped on Friday, which references Coolabah's house price analysis/forecasts (including work published here on...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
October 22, 2022 10:08
Macro
October 15, 2022 06:09
Record immigration key to avoiding more rate increases
In the AFR I write: Let’s start with the shocker that was the latest US inflation report for September, which initially triggered a savage 3.5 per cent drop in US...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
October 15, 2022 06:09
Macro
October 14, 2022 11:53
Sydney house prices have now fallen 10%, national prices on track for >15% loss
The great Aussie housing crash continues to unfold as the charts below highlight, which are updated to 13 October 2021. In Sydney, home values have now lost more...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
October 14, 2022 11:53
Macro
September 27, 2022 15:11
Good news: Aussie house price losses stabilise, albeit at a 16% annual rate...
The good news is that there is evidence that the great Aussie housing crash is stabilising in the vanguard cities of Sydney and Melbourne. As the first chart below...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
September 27, 2022 15:11
Macro
September 11, 2022 18:05
Aussie house prices now falling at more than a 15% annual rate
Australian home values are now shrinking at an annualised rate that exceeds 15% based on the three months of CoreLogic compositionally-adjusted index data to 10...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
September 11, 2022 18:05
Macro
September 01, 2022 06:59
Great Aussie housing bust gets worse: August officially the worst month since 1983
CoreLogic have just released their official housing data for the entire month of August 2022, which confirms what we feared: both the 5 capital city and 8 capital...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
September 01, 2022 06:59
Macro
August 30, 2022 05:22
Aussie house prices suffer biggest monthly fall in August since 1983
The great Aussie housing collapse continues to break new records with CoreLogic's 5 capital city index losing more than 1.44% in the first 29 days of August, which...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
August 30, 2022 05:22
Macro
August 25, 2022 11:58
Aussie housing crash update: Prices collapse again in August
Sydney prices are on track for another, truly massive, circa 2% per month decline according to CoreLogic data. They fell 2.2% in July, the worst outcome in around 40...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
August 25, 2022 11:58
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