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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Latest: Macro

Markets

The bond vigilantes are back - and shares could be next

Rising bond yields, high oil prices and rate hikes are increasing the risk of a deeper share market correction.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Livewire Live

Signal or noise? Three macro experts on what matters for your portfolio

A detailed look at whether the RBA is overtightening, how far house prices fall, and why Australian credit stands out.
Anna Dadic
Livewire Markets
Livewire Live

5 shocking predictions for 2027 and beyond

From an encroaching debt crisis to the new trillion-dollar cohort, these were the big and bold calls made at Livewire Live 2026.
CSL
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Hyperscaler cash flow mirage

The aggregate spending from hyperscalers, which includes Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle, has reached astronomical levels.
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Slower core inflation reduces the odds of an RBA rate rise in November

Core inflation slowed in August, reducing the odds of an expected RBA rate rise in November.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Overvalued stock markets are becoming a lever of US government policy

Why recent statements by the US administration point to the increased use of stock markets as a quasi lever of government policy.
Clive Smith
Macro

RBA raises rates, sending mixed messages on a further hike

The RBA resumed raising interest rates, retaining a tightening bias that was watered down in the press conference.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Opinion: RBA’s Bullock throws another soft punch at inflation

The RBA keeps nibbling at inflation with 25-basis-point hikes. It’s time Bullock considered the bitter medicine Australia needs.
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

Dr Joanna Syroka - Too big for balance sheets: AI data centers, cyber contagion, and the future of insurance-linked securities

I speak with Dr. Joanna Syroka of Fermat Capital Management to unpack the structural capacity deficit hitting traditional insurance markets.
David Clark
Koda Capital
Macro

On the ground in New Zealand: Signs of improvement

New Zealand’s recovery remains uneven, but stronger agriculture, infrastructure investment and cheap valuations are creating opportunities.
WAA
WAM
WAX
+1
Oscar Oberg
Wilson Asset Management
Macro

A deeper sharemarket correction, $2.70 petrol and deficits forever?

I look at why the pressure on Australian investors and households is building – and why the RBA may be forced to hike again.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Markets

Why sovereign default isn't always a disaster - and what it would mean for the US

Sovereign default sounds like an apocalyptic scenario. Janus Henderson's Jay Sivapalan explains why it doesn't have to be.
Keith Ford
Livewire Markets
Macro

The U.S. stock market approaches October with lots to worry about

Bonds present the biggest concern for an already stretch US equities landscape.
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Livewire Live

One big macro disagreement investors can't ignore

Livewire Live’s Signal or Noise panellists on whether the RBA has gone too far on inflation.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

FOMC makes first rate hike in three years

Our base case calls for one more 25 bps rate hike in December.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Put it on the tab

Leverage is real, and the speed of its recent rise warrants some vigilance.
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

BoE likely on hold in another split decision

The BoE should keep rates steady, but some policymakers will likely vote again to raise rates given high inflation and inflation risks.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Behind lithium's price swing: what the supply chain is actually signalling

Lithium prices spiked then turned volatile. The drivers behind both moves are more structural than the market is currently pricing.
Emanuel Datt
Datt Capital
Shares

“Easy asset gains are over” – expect a tougher year for the Australian economy

AMP economist My Bui explains whether the RBA will hike next week and what a tougher economy could mean for investors.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is the data arms race over?

In the data arms race of investing, judgement has never been so important.
Michael Skinner
Blackwattle Investment Partners
Macro

Clearing the path for a September hike

The August headline CPI reading was in line with expectations, and kept the annual figure steady at 3.4%. The larger surprise, however, was the hotter-than-expected...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Shares

The Fed looks like it’s going to hike – implications for investors and Australia

The Fed is set to hike this week for the first time since 2023. The bull market usually survives the first move - but it won't be smooth.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

These asset classes are back on the map

The old divide between developed and emerging markets is obscuring where top-tier investing opportunities now reside.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

A green light for the Fed to raise rates

The latest CPI has given the Fed a green light to raise rates and more rate rises are still likely.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The ECB hikes by 25bp, with more to come

The ECB could raise rates to 3% or more given upside risks to persistent above-target inflation and a higher neutral policy rate.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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