Don't Look back in Anger... but do look at the numbers

How have investors fared since the last Oasis tour in 2005?
Anthony Doyle

Pinnacle Investment Management

When Oasis last played Australia in 2005, we were all humming Wonderwall on the way to work and the cost of living felt manageable. A coffee was two dollars, the median Sydney home was about $500,000, and the Reserve Bank cash rate sat above 5.0%. It was a time when the economy felt balanced and investing seemed straightforward.

Two decades later, as the band returns to the stage, the story is very different. What cost $100 back then now costs about $168. Everyday life has become more expensive, and housing has turned into a Champagne Supernova for many Australians: dazzling to watch but harder to reach. The national median home price in capital cities is over $1.0 million, and in Sydney it has passed $1.75 million and could reach $2.0 million by the end of 2026. Incomes have not kept pace, meaning home ownership now feels more like The Masterplan than a given.

The investment story since the last Oasis tour has been just as revealing. Australian shares have returned about 8% per year, global shares over 9%, and US shares more than 11.5%. Cash and bonds have struggled to beat inflation, while listed property has managed roughly 4.5% annually. Inflation itself averaged 2.8%. The simple truth is that growth assets have been the only reliable defence against the slow erosion of purchasing power. Sitting in cash has been a Fade Away approach.

Time, patience, and compounding since the last Oasis tour of Australia
Time, patience, and compounding since the last Oasis tour of Australia

For Australian investors, these numbers tell a story about time, patience and compounding. The investors who stayed diversified and focused on the long term have been the ones who finished the concert still singing. Every market cycle brings its own Glory moments and its inevitable downturns, but the discipline to stay invested has delivered lasting wealth.

As Oasis return to Australian stages, the music offers a reminder about perspective. Time changes everything: prices, politics, returns and expectations. We cannot roll back to 2005, but investors can make sure they Don't Look Back in Anger at the opportunities they missed. 

What's the Story? Diversify and stay invested.

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This communication is not an offer or invitation for subscription or purchase of securities or a recommendation with respect to any security. Information in this communication should not be considered advice and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of an investor.  Before making an investment in PNI, any investor should consider whether such an investment is appropriate to their needs, objectives and circumstances and consult with an investment adviser if necessary.  Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance.  

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Anthony Doyle
Chief Investment Strategist
Pinnacle Investment Management

Anthony Doyle, MBA (Lond.), MEcSt, BCom, is a distinguished voice in global financial markets with over two decades of expertise spanning asset management, investment strategy, and economic analysis. As Chief Investment Strategist at Pinnacle he...

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