us equities

Education
Scott Shuttleworth

In my last blog, I provided an overview of Vega Capital’s model for identifying and pre-empting recessions in the United States. Last Thursday (at WeWorks Martin Place), I presented a talk on how our model would have approached the Great Depression and other recessions. The former is what I’ll be... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

In 2017, emerging markets delivered some of their best returns since 2009. However, a series of headwinds – which include a stronger US dollar, lower liquidity due to rising US rates, China’s attempts at deleveraging, and uncertainty surrounding trade – have now hit. This has meant some of those gains... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

During the last quarter US economic strength led market sentiment, resulting in a widening valuation gap between the US market and the rest of the world. This widening gap implies a much more favourable backdrop for long-term returns outside the US. Expectations of non-US countries are not only lower, but... Show More

Ben Griffiths

US equities plunged quickly on October 10, seemingly in response to several elements but nothing in-particular. US 10-year bonds traded through 3.12% and up to 3.24% on strong payroll data. Fed chief Powell declared rates to be a ‘long way from neutral’ and angst grew around the trade war with... Show More

Aberdeen Standard Investments

Once again, markets are roiling. As with so many sell-offs, this is a story of pressure building steadily until it must vent. Volatile markets are here to stay, but the next few weeks will tell us whether this episode is a sign of something more ominous to come or just... Show More

Charlie Aitken

US equities have led the recent correction in global equities. We have been swinging around on Twitter headlines with index futures traders deciding the short-term direction of markets. Pretty much everything has been moving up and down in tandem, led by gyrations in index futures markets. I actually deleted Twitter, Instagram... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

In the past companies used to buy a database, install it on their hardware, and deploy it locally. But what we've seen over the last few years is the rise of cloud computing, a significant evolution in the way in which we save, store and access data, and that has... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

The various challenges facing the healthcare sector today have been brought to light recently with media headlines highlighting the pressures at play in a very competitive industry. The cost of healthcare in the US is a key challenge for providers and consumers of healthcare, where we have seen companies such... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

The US market has become more complex. Earnings have been strong during 2017 but multiples are highly elevated, meaning there are increasingly fewer opportunities. One of the biggest risks for markets would have to be US equities. It’s more than 50% of the MSCI World Index, and where many people... Show More

Angela Mangan

The Nasdaq Composite index has completed a technical top formation / closed below key support which has generated a technical sell signal. The index technical outlook has turned negative. The minimum downside target is located at 5810. Show More

Etienne Alexiou

We are used to the experience of economic developments influencing and sometimes determining political events. This past year we have seen political events influencing markets and economic forecasts more than usual. The rise of the populists as a reaction to the specific disaffection with wage stagnation, immigration and terrorism is... Show More

Angela Mangan

The Nasdaq Composite index is overbought and is located near key resistance of the long-term upward trend channel that originated in 2008. It is now also located at overbought levels on a momentum / RSI basis which is reason for caution relating to the sustainability of the current rally. Show More

Marcus Tuck

Geopolitical concerns, delays to the Trump Administration’s planned fiscal stimulus, and benign US economic and inflation data have made bond markets more relaxed and equity markets more volatile. The US 10-year Treasury bond yield has rallied from a recent peak of just over 2.6% in March to about 2.2% now.... Show More