Wall Street & Japanese Stimulus sends the Australian Share Market Higher

The Australian Share Market seeing another good day of gains as a strong lead from Wall Street combined with positive sentiment out of Japan on the back of expected further stimulus in the country to send stocks higher and shrug off volatility on commodity markets overnight. One point to note is again the lack of market turnover. Leading into the last hour of trade, turnover was at $3.789 billion which is an improvement on yesterday however this again points to lower market activity which isn’t a surprise due to NSW having school holidays. We will need to see a consistent return of volume before I am convinced on the substance of the current rally. Of more interest will be the Australian employment data out on Thursday, which has been volatile in the last few years, but will at least give us an indication of the health of the labor market, which the market has put on back seat due to all the macro economic issues from around the world.
Tristan K'Nell

tknell@ccz.com.au

On the local economic front some solid data released on Business Conditions and Confidence. Business Conditions Index rising two points to 12 ahead of expectations of a reading of 10, while Business Confidence Index adding 3 points to 6 in line with expectations. Both good reads considering pre-election uncertainty and the fallout of Brexit. Short term continue to expect political uncertainty, RBA interest rate moves and employment data to be heavy influences on the data.

Across the market, the banks continued to power forward backing up yesterday’s positive performance. ANZ (+1.51%), CBA (+0.81%), NAB (+0.72%) Macquarie (+0.52%) and Westpac (+0.89%) all in the black, with the threat off the Royal Commission, Earnings downgrades in the low interest rate environment and the potential for our Triple AAA credit rating to be downgraded pushed to the back burner for today.

An area we have liked since November 2015 has been the resource sector. Altair went overweight on expectations of further Chinese Stimulus and production cuts by the majors. With spot Iron Ore moving higher overnight this helped further strengthen the sector with BHP (+1.96%), Fortescue (+3.32%) and Rio Tinto (+0.30%) all continuing to trend higher, with Rio well off morning highs.

Some profit taking in the Gold Sector with the local miners seeing some selling after a great run of late. With spot Gold down 0.9% overnight we saw this directly influence local trade, with New Crest (-0.99%), Northern Star (-0.35%), Resolute Mining (-1.59%) and St Barbara (-1.63%) all in the red.

Energy stocks also trending lower with the volatility we have seen in Crude Oil continuing overnight. Demand/Supply fundamentals are off a present in the commodity with the strong U.S dollar also putting pressure on the commodity price. Goldman Sach’s placing a WTI price target of $45-$50 per barrel for second half of the year, but over supply again being a major negative in the space. A mixed picture in the sector, Woodside (+0.11%) in the black while Santos (-1.66%) and Oil Search (-1.30%) in negative territory.


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Tristan K'Nell
Tristan K'Nell
Market Analyst / Business Development Manager
tknell@ccz.com.au

Tristan has over 12 years’ experience in the stockbroking industry, starting out in a dealing role at Andrew West Stockbroking and was recently the Head of Trading at Quay Equities. Tristan is RG146 qualified and is an accredited level 1 and 2...

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