inflation

With inflation still the word on everyone’s lips, our latest podcast has been published in two parts. In part 1, Greg Goodsell, 4D's Global Equity Strategist, speaks...

For anyone who thought Australia's inflation story would be different from our global counterparts, today may have provided quite the alarm. A day after the Federal...

“This is nothing like the 1970’s, which was a pretty dismal period, and not just because of polyester and disco.” – Barry Ritholtz, CEO, Ritholtz Wealth Management ...

I recently spoke to Bennelong Funds Management's Stuart Fechner about the insidious nature of inflation and the spectre of a recession - as well as the surprising...

“I remember the $0.05 hamburger and a $0.40-per-hour minimum wage, so I’ve seen a tremendous amount of inflation in my lifetime. Did it ruin the investment climate? I...

Was it really only a year ago that the RBA suggested the official cash rate wouldn’t increase until 2024? No wonder Australians have whiplash. We’re far from alone,...

US inflation came in hot overnight. It is worth noting that while there are some positive signs for goods, services inflation is getting worse. See the tables below:...

There are two major themes I’ve been writing about over the past six months: 1. The Fed will crush the US economy with its tight monetary policy, leading to a...

Deja-vu? If we were to rewind back to the years leading up to the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007/08, some key economic factors stand out. House prices were on...

This is a critical time for investors and policymakers alike. Geopolitical tensions, elevated market volatility, and the fastest pace of central bank tightening in...

With stocks on the rocks, everyone I bump into understandably wants to know if it’s a good time to buy equities – the lure of buying at the bottom is just too great...

The key driver of September’s broad-based and significant weakness was inflation, and the realignment of interest rates to the reality of stubbornly higher...

(dis)Inflation Expectations: Declining inflation expectations will be well received by the Fed and markets with respect to the prospects of a pivot or at least a...

The RBA has increased its cash rate again but slowed the pace to +0.25% which took the cash rate to 2.6%. This was in line with our view and a slowing “at some...

For investment markets, 2022 has so far been one of the more interesting and fascinating years since the early 1990s. This year, markets have been on a trajectory that...

Investors have long been warned that the current environment poses challenges to the 'new' sustainable economy. And they are starting to see performance lag....

A colleague and I just returned from a busy trip visiting 16 public companies in the US, taking us everywhere from New York City to Winona, Minnesota (population:...

I would have thought the economics field (which was so confident in secular stagnation) would be more vocal about the eventual return to 2% for US 10s, from rates...

Inflation Headwinds Equity Markets Equity investors are acutely watching developments in inflation expectations and for good reason. Figure 1 outlines the reason...

In his 8-minute speech at the recent Jackson Hole symposium, US Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, fundamentally shifted the market outlook. Powell strongly...