interest rates

The latest data from CoreLogic underscores the point that Australia's record housing crash is not slowing right now. The first chart below shows the 3 month annualised...

Investors need to face up to the reality that a global recession is likely next year, which will crush corporate earnings and substantially increase default rates...

Last month, there was a moment that analysts and financial market participants had been hoping for some time. Like kids waiting for Christmas morning, market...

History never repeats but it often rhymes. Markets are rallying at the moment but there is pain to come. The data suggests March 2023 could be a turning point for...

Contrary to the “hopeium” out there, there is currently zero evidence that the great Aussie housing crash is bottoming out. The most constructive thing we can say is...

On 30 November, Fed Chair Powell delivered a speech entitled, Inflation and the Labor Market, at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. Markets surged...

Deutsche Bank released its outlook and it’s not good news for bulls. Recession is coming. Brace yourself for 2023.

In the first 28 days of November, Aussie home values have lost another 1% plus based on CoreLogic's 5 capital city index, bringing the cumulative draw-down to 7.7%...

The Reserve Bank of Australia has a massive trick up its sleeve. The potency of this gambit is still very much underappreciated. In its latest financial stability...

Each year, the Neuberger Berman investment leaders identify the 10 key themes they believe will be prominent in markets over the next 12 months.

So there is good news and bad news. The bad news is that national house prices are falling at a record 14% annual rate based on the last three months of data from...

The story of 2022 so far has been of central banks pushing interest rates ever-upwards with the hope of curtailing inflation. Over the course of the last few...

Aussie home values have now lost 7.1% from their May peak (at the time of the first RBA hike), and have been falling at a 14.6% annual pace over the last three...

In January of this year, after bouncing around for a few months, the ASX200 took a sharp and sizeable leg down. It was to be the first of numerous heavy sell offs in...

Mortgage holders are having a truly *wonderful* year. Our repayments are jumping at a rate of knots. Of course, we aren’t the only ones. The increasing cost of...

In a fascinating RBA freedom of information disclosure dumped on Friday, which references Coolabah's house price analysis/forecasts (including work published here on...

Was it really only a year ago that the RBA suggested the official cash rate wouldn’t increase until 2024? No wonder Australians have whiplash. We’re far from alone,...

In the AFR I write: Let’s start with the shocker that was the latest US inflation report for September, which initially triggered a savage 3.5 per cent drop in US...

The great Aussie housing crash continues to unfold as the charts below highlight, which are updated to 13 October 2021. In Sydney, home values have now lost more...

There are two major themes I’ve been writing about over the past six months: 1. The Fed will crush the US economy with its tight monetary policy, leading to a...