us interest rates

The tech sector has accounted for the bulk of recent US economic growth, pointing to a speed limit for growth of about 2½%.

Analysis suggests there is merit to Warsh arguing that trimmed mean inflation is better than the traditional core PCE series.

The Fed is formally forecasting a couple more rate cuts, but CCI's policy rules continue to point to a higher funds rate.

The Fed will probably keep interest rates unchanged next week after cutting the funds rate by 25bp to 3½–3¾% last month in a split decision.

A new rate-cutting cycle is good news for equities, but investors shouldn't get complacent, says global market strategist Kerry Craig.

Fed trims rates 25bps; Powell cautious, data-driven stance curbs market hopes for deep cuts as yields edge higher.

RBA’s dovish stance faces scrutiny as growth holds firm, inflation risks linger, and bond markets price in aggressive rate cuts.

The return of the term premium, which could increase given the deteriorating fiscal outlook, points to the risk of higher US bond yields.

The latest US tariffs plus extreme policy uncertainty point to a sharp decline in US output and the risk of a synchronised global downturn

US GDP could contract in Q1 as consumer spending broadly stalls on higher actual/expected inflation and fears of higher unemployment