109 trading days since the S&P futures has had a pull-back of 5% or more and on current trend, is it unlikely abate. Analyst estimates which suggest second...

Evan Lucas

InvestSMART

109 trading days since the S&P futures has had a pull-back of 5% or more and on current trend, is it unlikely abate. Analyst estimates which suggest second quarter numbers from the US could collectively see double digit growth for the first time post the GFC. This all feeds into the theories that the US markets are likely to grinder higher still. This is despite the fact that we are now starting to see more speculation about the future of the federal funds rate and the 'move higher'. Bringing forward their expectations on the fed funds rate is Goldman Sachs moving their expectations of the first move higher to the third quarter of 2015 from the first quarter of 2016. This is a substantial move forward in time. However, it is still 12+ months away, and with the rate still sub -0.25% credit spending and corporate expansion can continue relatively unabated. (VIEW LINK)


Evan Lucas
Chief Market Strategist
InvestSMART

Evan has been investing and researching global markets for over a decade. After getting his Masters in Finance, Evan headed to Amsterdam with ABN Amro before moving to the Royal Bank of Scotland. He returned to Australia with RBSMorgans where he...

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