A Growing Disconnect between Politics and Markets
My colleague, Wesley Phoa, argues that “the key to successful active management in periods of elevated uncertainty is not to stake everything on single-point forecasts. Rather, it is the ability to apply detailed policy analysis to a range of scenarios, and to maintain enough portfolio flexibility to respond rapidly and with high conviction as soon as uncertainty starts to resolve itself toward a specific outcome.”
The link provides more in-depth discussion around this thinking:
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