After dipping down to 1.3590 after the European CPI estimate of 0.5%, the pair rallied rapidly to 1.3648 before sellers returned

Chris Weston

Pepperstone

After dipping down to 1.3590 after the European CPI estimate of 0.5%, the pair rallied rapidly to 1.3648 before sellers returned. It seems the market either bought the fact, or looked more closely at the regions unemployment rate, which fell 10 basis points to 11.7%. Key resistance is seen at the neckline to the double top pattern at 1.3672, so a test of this level in the short-term and subsequent rejection would be bearish and suggest the market is ready to head to the double top target some 300 points lower. At 19:00 tonight we get the Europe's Q1 GDP report and the market expects no change in the revision at 0.2% mom. With the ECB meeting tomorrow the market is looking at the EUR in earnest and the fact we saw a massive bearish monthly reversal last month is in fitting that at 1.3993 the highs have been seen.


Chris Weston
Chris Weston
Head of Research
Pepperstone

Highly accomplished financial markets professional, with experience at a number of top-tier global institutions on both the buy and sell-side. A natural communicator with a strong ability to analyse macro-economic trends, capital flows and market...

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