All Ordinaries Index - December is Bullish following a 5% plus gain for the calendar year to November

Probability Trader

All Ordinaries Index - December is Bullish following a 5% plus gain for the calendar year to November. Over the past 63 years the All Ordinaries Index has provided a regular upward bias for the month of December. Since 1950, December has produced an average gain of 2.09%, win rate 73%, with 46 up months & 17 down months. This mean return of 2.09% for December is over 3 times that of the average monthly return of 0.63% & is statistically significant at well north of the 1 in 20 level. Interestingly, when the calendar year to November managed a gain of 5% plus, December returns were even better, delivering an average gain of 2.57%, win rate 87.50%, with 28 up months & 4 down months (max 8.96%, min -2.71%). Full data set & analysis at (VIEW LINK)

Probability Trader
Probability Trader
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Probabilitytrader is an independent financial research group that provides objective analysis for traders of Global Stock Market Index CFDs, ETFs, Futures, and Options. Our forward looking analysis covers timeframes as short as 1-day to as long as...


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