At a private dinner early in November a group of executives from one of the world's largest commodity traders was asked to predict the price of oil in a year's...

At a private dinner early in November a group of executives from one of the world's largest commodity traders was asked to predict the price of oil in a year's time. Without exception the forecasts, scribbled on place cards without consultation, were for Brent crude to fall well below the $100 a barrel level it has traded above for most of the past three years. Those predictions reflect a growing consensus in the oil market. From US shale to an easing of sanctions on Iran, the coming years are expected to provide a huge boost to global output, inverting the structure of the oil market in which supplies have long been rationed by a handful of producers. Read more: (VIEW LINK)