Is this streaming stock the next trillion dollar company?

Janus Henderson's Josh Cummings says Spotify shows the same signals as Amazon did and is backing it to become a market leader.
Tom Stelzer

Livewire Markets

This panel was filmed on 9 September 2025.

As part of Livewire Live 2025, we asked panellists to find us the Nvidia of the future.

No small ask, especially given how hard it wad to predict where Nvidia itself would end up back when it was a humble gaming company. 

Thankfully, our panellists were able to deliver.

Joshua Cummings, Janus Henderson portfolio manager, pitched Spotify (NASDAQ: SPOTas the stock he thinks could become the next $1 trillion company and tech giant.

"Spotify to us is now fully and completely demonstrating signals and signs of a long-term winning aggregator in much the same way that Amazon did for us many years ago," says Cummings. "They're taking something like 50 to 60% incremental growth share."

Janus Henderson's Joshua Cummings
Janus Henderson's Joshua Cummings

With 38% global market share and almost 700 million active users, Spotify is already the dominant force in an industry that's expecting huge growth. 

"The industry is still growing. Streaming is less than half penetrated globally in developed markets it's about half penetrated."

"You have a business here that is wildly profitable, very free cashflow profitable, is now down that backside that we talked about where they're just self-funding all kinds of growth and music as a category is still very under monetised."

It leaves Spotify in a great position to emulate the growth and success of similarly disruptive aggregators like Amazon and Netflix, says Cummings. 

"We feel like they've broken away from the pack, frankly. And anytime you have one competitor gaining 50 cents on the growth dollar, that's pretty hard to fight. That's a really nice tailwind at your back."

Spotify 5-year chart (Source: TradingView)
Spotify 5-year chart (Source: TradingView)

Under eccentric co-founder and CEO Daniel Ek, Spotify haven't lost the edge that helped them disrupt the music business even as they mature into a market giant.

"We love founder-led businesses, absolutely love them." - Joshua Cummings
"We actually think that the company's really found profitability religion, and we think it's pretty much up and to the right from here. We feel great about this business." 
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Tom Stelzer
Content Editor
Livewire Markets

Tom is a Content Editor at Livewire Markets, having worked as a writer and editor for 10 years, specialising in investing and personal finance. He has previously worked at Finder, FourFourTwo and Man Of Many covering everything from film to...

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