Listed investment funds, including open ended trusts (ETFs & active ETFs or ETMFs) and closed ended listed investment companies (LICs) and trusts (LITs) are today nearly a $100 billion industry in Australia in terms of funds under management.
While still only 15% of the $600bn retail managed fund industry, listed investment products have grown nearly 300% over the past five years, compared to unlisted managed funds that are up only 20% over the same period (since December 2014).
Is this growth in listed investments a fad or is this a sign of structural growth that is here to stay?
Are listed investment funds only for the ‘pros’?
FOR: Stock markets are volatile and high volatility has a tendency to bring out the worst animal instincts of some retail investors and cause them to over trade, buy high and sell low.
AGAINST: The transparency and scrutiny of listed investment funds are important safeguards for investors, in much the same way that investors should take comfort investing in listed companies over unlisted companies. The numbers of eyes (market participants and regulators) watching the listed market means that issues are more readily identified more quickly. Market makers and other market professionals are liquidity providers that tighten spreads, as they do with shares.
Saying that just because a fund is listed causes investors to overtrade is the same as saying that we should all go back to using landline phones as mobile phones are causing us to talk too much. It ignores all the other benefits in much the same way that listed investment funds are an innovation that are for the benefit of the end investor.
Unlisted funds are better than listed funds
FOR: Unlisted funds have only one end of day NAV that all investors receive and have a fixed buy/sell spread, providing certainty to investors. They are also lower cost to invest in as there is no brokerage to pay to invest in an unlisted fund.
AGAINST: Listed funds have multiple benefits. They are easy to transact (no onerous form filling), accessible (no minimums) and transparent (more regular portfolio disclosure and price discovery) than unlisted funds. In terms of transaction costs, the bid/offer spread on listed funds such as ETFs is very similar and often better than their unlisted fund equivalent.
Yes, you must pay brokerage to buy or sell a listed fund, but those costs have become very competitive and are comparable to or lower than the platform costs of investing in unlisted funds. The intraday NAV and the traded price of an ETF are almost identical and very ‘visible’ as they are quoted on exchange. The benefit of this intraday pricing is that investors can implement their investment decision at a price when they make the decision rather than only at an unknown price using the end of day NAV (as with an unlisted fund). In finance speak, the implementation shortfall when investing in listed funds is superior to unlisted funds
ETFs are unproven in a crisis
FOR: Some people say ETFs are a recent phenomenon and haven’t been tested during a market crisis. It is unknown how the bid/offer spreads, operational robustness and liquidity of ETFs will react during the next GFC.
AGAINST: ETFs have been around well before the GFC. So have LICs. Both have survived.
During the GFC, ETF spreads did widen, as did the spreads on buying and selling shares but they snapped back quickly and the efficiency, liquidity and transparency of ETFs to investors during the GFC (when many other markets were shut) actually put ETFs on the map.
Growth in listed has been too rapid and an ‘accident’ is waiting to happen
FOR: Anytime an area of the financial services industry grows too quickly, mistakes are made and an accident happens. ETFs are the most rapidly growing part of the asset management industry in the last decade and are like structured products leading up to the GFC, the next accident waiting to happen.
- AGAINST: ETFs are growing rapidly as they’re a good innovation for investors. ETFs are not like structured products during the GFC. Structured products had two features that ‘killed’ investors – counterparty risk and leverage. Counterparty risk means you only get paid out from an investment if the counterparty doesn’t default. Leverage amplifies asset price movements. Unlike structured products, ETFs are not derivatives, and carry no counterparty risk to a default of the issuer. The assets inside the ETF are segregated from the issuer and owned by the trust, much like an unlisted trust (managed fund). ETFs also have no leverage.
Active ETFs are opaque and illiquid
FOR: Active ETFs are opaque and don’t disclose their portfolio holdings daily like ‘traditional’ ETFs, often only disclosing their holdings quarterly. Some investors consider many active ETFs are illiquid as they have low average daily value traded.
AGAINST: Yes, some active ETFs only disclose their portfolios quarterly as they value the intellectual property of their portfolio decisions and don’t want the market to easily replicate their portfolio (after all that’s what their investors are paying for). While this portfolio disclosure may be less regular than the daily disclosure of passive ETFs (that track an index and thus don’t need to protect their IP), it is still more disclosure and the disclosure requirements are more heavily regulated than with unlisted managed funds. Unlisted funds have no standard disclosure requirements and, in most cases, only disclose their top 10 holdings monthly (active ETFs do this as well) and never disclose the entire portfolio on any frequency to the market.
On liquidity, ETFs have three layers of liquidity. The ‘on screen’ liquidity (like the daily value traded), unlike with shares or LICs is only one layer of this liquidity. Ultimately, an ETF is as liquid as the securities underlying the ETF (e.g. global equities). Given ETFs are open ended, any sale of an ETF can always be funded, as a last resort, by the sale of securities in the ETF portfolio, if there are no buyers on the other side at the time of the sale (as with a redemption in an unlisted managed fund).
In a ‘winner takes all’ scenario, ETFs (that trade at NAV) must win out over LIC/LITs (that can trade at premiums or discounts to NAV)
FOR: The LIC market will dwindle as investors don’t like the fact that LICs can trade at a discount or premium to their NTA. Investors like the certainty of NAV trading that you get with ETFs. ETFs will be the ultimate winner.
AGAINST: Not all asset types can be inside an ETF. If the asset class is illiquid or where the underlying asset price of the security inside the ETF is not readily observable, it’s not suitable for the daily liquidity of ETFs and thus are not allowed under the ASX’s AQUA rulebook (governs the issuance of ETFs).
LICs and LITs, due to their closed end nature, can house asset classes that are less liquid and with prices that aren’t quoted on a stock or bond exchange. This provides the retail investor with the opportunity to access asset classes such as private equity, unlisted infrastructure and corporate loans via a LIC or LIT that aren’t available in an ETF. These asset types, that have both return and diversification benefits over traditional listed equities and bonds, provides additional choice to investors to complete their portfolios.
In addition, the LIC market has come a long way and become more investor friendly over the past few years as issuers improve their alignment with LIC shareholders (e.g. issuer paying for the upfront capital raising costs). This should, over time, help to close the gap between the share price of an LIC or LIT and the NTA of its underlying assets. For income investors, LICs are also able to smooth their distributions received, and amplifying their franking credit when compared to a trust structure like an ETF, LIT or unlisted unit trust (managed fund) that must pay out its income as received.
All fund types are here to stay but the outlook for ETFs looks brightest
Much like how the debate on active versus passive investing has moved on to a point where most would agree they both have a future, we believe the debate on ‘listed vs unlisted’ funds or ‘ETF vs LIC’ should also move on to a different debate: what’s best for the end investor.
When looking at it through the eyes of the investor, the answer becomes a lot clearer: all of these fund types have a future.
The first layer of an investment decision is ‘what do I want to invest in’. The second layer of the investment decision is ‘how do I want to invest in it’. If you like the ‘one click to trade’ nature of investing in listed funds, chances are you will like ETFs and LICs over unlisted funds.
If you don’t like investments that can trade away from their NAV/NTA, chances are you will prefer ETFs and unlisted managed funds over LICs. If, however, you like NTA discounts as they provide an opportunity to buy a portfolio below its value or if you want access to more alternative asset classes or a more stable dividend stream then you could look at LIC or LITs.
The growth of the listed investment market is because of the innovation and investor choice provided by ETFs and LICs, a structural benefit to investors that is here to stay, not because the industry is getting carried away with an overhyped fad.
Looking overseas at the US and Canadian markets suggests that the prospects for the ETF industry look the brightest as they’re much larger than their LIC market counterparts and in each market, the ETF industry is closing in on the size of their unlisted funds markets as the ETF industry continues to see strong net inflows while the unlisted fund market is in outflow. Investors are voting with their feet.
the biggest and worst feature of LICs for me is the continuing infuriating problem of LICs trading at discounts to NTA. so annoying and frustrating after buying in at around NTA, especially when the underlying portfolio is doing better than the actual share price. bring on more active ETFs ; these are the future of investing for mine.
Hi Carlos. Many thanks for the comment. LIC discounts are a big detractor for many investors currently especially with listed equity underlying strategies. We believe this to be near a cyclical low (discounts are cyclical) but agree that as issuers we need to continue improving the alignment with LIC shareholders (much has been done already) and communicating better (LIC investors want more regular insights from the underlying managers) to ensure the future of an industry that provides important investment choices to retail investors.
I still think the solution to LIC/LITs trading at a discount is a clear mechanism in the Mgt Agreement that says approximately "if we trade at a discount of >15% for 2+ years, we will have a strategic review that returns maximum value to shareholders [eg by windup and return of capital, change of mgr, sale to super fund/ other mgr etc or offer of unlimited buyback at NTA". This is fair to unit holders and the Mgr, and provides a clear pathway to close NTA gaps. Sure, sure i know all the reasons against this (and we can argue about the exact terms), but what if someone DID do it... (just like when Steve Johnson and VGI etc changed how the LITs came to market - change for the better is possible).
The problem with LICs is that in Australia they’re almost like dividend traps. They pay out dividends and pass on capital gains, but many of them see very little capital growth.
Hi David. According to Bell Potter LIC analyst Will Gormley's research, Aus equity LIC's have returned (NTA plus dividends) about 30% over 5 years to end March. With about a 5% average annual dividend yield, you're correct most of the return comes from dividends. When looking at the ASX200 index returns of 7.5% p.a. over the last 5 years, 4.7% of that is from dividends. In other words, it's not only LICs, its the market that hasn't seen much capital return ex dividends
Hi Mr T. Continuation agreements / sunset clauses are an interesting alignment idea. We looked at the precedence of this in Aus and the UK (the other large LIC market) and couldn't find any and thus hard to tell if it works/would work. If you have any examples, let me know. The pros and cons are not clear cut thus would be good to see if it's worked in practice.
Doesn’t the NTA issue go both ways though? LICs like WAM consistently trade above their NTA. Presumably this because investors price them in the same way they price regular shares, ie on potential. The market fixes the price. Isn’t that the whole point of listing? Yes it would be good if the LICs released shareholder value, but if theydo this fully then they become exactly the same as an ETF. The marketpays a premium for what they believe is a good manager, and a discount for what they believe are bad ones. That’s the risk you took when you plunked down your cash in a closed fund.
LIC's have been here for over 60 years, so I would suggest they are here to stay, well the original internally managed ones. Not the news ones that are trying to latch on to permanent capital to charge ridiculous fees and put up poor disclosure on their returns. This article to me reads like someone who has failed to launch an LIC and is trying to suggest ETF's are the next best alternative.
Hi Steve. There are LICs that trade at a premium to NTA but they are rare . One of ours, Pinnacle affiliate's Plato Income Maximiser (PL8) is one such example. Trading at a discount during franking credit uncertainties, it now trades at a premium as shareholders love the fully franked dividend of PL8. They also Love Plato so yes the performance and quality of manager are big drivers of discount/premium to NTA. Discount/Premiums are cyclical and at the moment, the discount to NTA on equity LICs are as wide as they've ever been, even for 'old school' LICs like ARGO and AFIC ( 5% discount), with the majority >10%. We think this is a cyclical low point.
Hi Ellie. At Pinnacle, we have $2.6bn of FUM in LIC/LITs. Some trade at premiums, some at discounts. The fees range from 0.6% to 1.1%, in line with their unlisted managed fund equivalents. Don't forget that the cost of raising LIC capital can be as high as 3%, a cost which is now borne by the manager not the LIC shareholder. This is a very investor friendly market trend that differentiates the Australian LIC market vs likes of US and Canada where the investor still pays for the upfront capital raising costs.