The Easter Bunny faces rising inflation

Here's something unexpected: A chocolate index. Anthony Doyle from Firetrail Investments explains more, assessing whether you can expect your just desserts this Easter or see the good stuff returned to the shelf thanks to soaring prices.
Anthony Doyle

Firetrail Investments

With all the talk about rising commodity prices and food inflation, spare a thought for the Easter Bunny this year.

Class IV milk, which is used to produce butter and milk powder, has risen by 67% to around $US25 per hundredweight. Class IV milk prices are now at record highs. Raw sugar has risen from $US15.75 to $US20.31 per pound, while the price of cocoa has risen from $US2,472 per metric ton to $US2,667.

The Easter Bunny is facing rising input costs

Prices of milk, raw sugar and cocoa - like many other commodities – have ratcheted higher following pull-back of supply following pandemic lockdowns in 2020. With economies re-opening, demand has shifted higher for many commodities, resulting in higher prices.

The Firetrail Chocolate Index, which represents the average performance of the three commodities, has risen by 32% since the start of 2021.

Rumours that the Easter Bunny will be substituting chocolate Easter eggs for fruit appear unfounded, much to the delight of kids (and adults) across Australia.

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This communication was prepared by Firetrail Investments Pty Limited (ABN 98 622 377 913, AFSL 516821) (Firetrail). It is for general information only. It has been prepared without taking account of any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not intended as a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in relation to investment. Any persons relying on this information should obtain professional advice before doing so.

Anthony Doyle
Head of Investment Strategy - Firetrail S3 Global Opportunities Fund
Firetrail Investments

Anthony Doyle is Head of Investment Strategy for the Firetrail S3 Global Opportunities Fund. His primary responsibilities include fundamental idea generation, portfolio analysis, and economic insights including currency and macroeconomic risk...

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