inflation

Latest news and analysis on inflation

Macro

An industry having a ‘Chumbawamba’ moment

ASX takeovers soar in 2025: Building materials sector, hit by post-COVID pressures, sees small-caps bought by strategic investors.
Robert Miller
NAOS
Macro

The drivers of higher US bond yields

Higher US bond yields reflect a higher expected future real short rate, the return of a real term premium & higher expected inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

US inflation: big fall in travel-related services

An oft-repeated mantra from the Trump regime is that tariffs in Trump’s first term barely affected inflation. Which is true.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

US consumers send stagflationary signals about the outlook

The Michigan survey showed consumer unemployment expectations at recession-like levels with a tariff-driven spike in inflation expectations.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why buy gold: The historical appeal - 1560 onwards!

Gold has held value for centuries. This article explores why, how it reacts to money printing, and whether now is the time to invest.
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Chris Watling
Longview Economics
Equities

Four risks that investors should watch in 2025

Global equities have just delivered a second year of stellar gains, but a range of investment risks may bring more volatile share markets in 2025. However, there are...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Education

The great cash stash and the risk of doing nothing

Are investors so heavily weighted to cash as they brace for more share market volatility given the uncertainty about global economic growth?
Simon Arraj
Vado Private
Macro

Inflation risks keep the Fed on edge

The November CPI report aligned with consensus expectations, likely confirming a Fed policy cut next week. Nevertheless, with monthly core inflation hitting its...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Investment Theme

Where the investment signals lie amid a plethora of noise

There may be significant uncertainty around the political framework but structural investment opportunities still abound.
Bennelong Funds Management
Fund Manager
Macro

Prices, jobs, and personalities: Here comes the US election

The US election is nearly here. The opinion polls are close. What is not clear is what are the hopes and fears of ordinary Americans.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

The room to cut interest rates across countries

The RBA never raised rates by as much as other countries, so it has relatively less scope to cut them in a soft economic landing.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why lower interest rates rule

The path to lower interest rates is clear - at least in market pricing terms.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

US inflation: only held up by housing

US inflation came in low. Services are still running hot, but that is mostly driven by housing costs. It would seem that the housing costs in CPI are probably...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Soft landings nearly always prove elusive for the Fed

Soft landings are exceedingly rare in the US and the 1990s episode marks the only example of a successful soft landing.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The Fed and the RBA part company on policy

Improving inflation is consistent with the Fed cutting rates next month, while a hawkish-sounding RBA plans to keep rates on hold.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Education

How experts’ “systematic mispredictions” improve our returns

Their forecasts lure most investors into overconfidence – and thus losses. If you recognise experts’ biases, you can grasp opportunities.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

Ways to hedge inflation

Long-term savings need to grow more than inflation to meet future liabilities or lifestyle choices.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Equities

This market is running out of breadth

Fewer and fewer stocks are participating in this rally. Investors need to be cautious here
Greg Canavan
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

Different ways to 2%

Central banks will likely maintain a 2% inflation target in the coming years.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

Some relief from US core inflation matching expectations in April

The Fed is sidelined on rates for some time as it watches how inflation evolves after an unexpected surge in Q1.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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