Zip your wallet against economic forecasts
While I believe macroeconomics is just about useless in explaining future returns, microeconomics is vital. Indeed, when explaining the success of Berkshire Hathaway in October 2003, Charles T. Munger noted; “year after year, in a kind of grind-ahead fashion, with very few failures, it eventually drew some attention, indicating that Warren and I knew something useful about microeconomics.” Macroeconomics is not a hard science, like mathematics or physics. It is a soft science and its analysis, and application to the pursuit of profits in financial markets is more a dark art than it is a robust tool that can be relied upon to produce predictable outcomes. If someone tells you that you should be doing X or Y because GDP, unemployment or inflation will be A, B or C, zip up your wallet. Read the full story: (VIEW LINK)
Roger Montgomery founded Montgomery Investment Management, www.montinvest.com in 2010. Roger has than three decades of experience in investing, financial markets and analysis. Roger also authored the best-selling investment book, Value.able.