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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

The big signals every investor should watch ahead of 2024

Signal or Noise takes a look at the year that was 2023 - and prognosticates about what might happen in 2024.
MQG
+2
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Asset classes of 2023, Fed pivots in context and the Magnificent 7

As 2023 comes to a close, this week’s edition charts the winners and losers among asset classes and compares them to past years.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 3.9%, UK maintained interest rates at 5.25%

Weekly Update | 15th December, 2023
MQG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Can active managers outperform when the global economy slows?

Higher interest rates and slowing consumer spending are bringing a much wider dispersion of company earnings and stock returns. This gives active global equity...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

ECB is more hawkish than the Fed

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its key policy rates on hold today for the second consecutive meeting. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

What Powell's pivot means for markets

December 2023 FOMC Meeting
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Investors cannot ignore the debt-sustainability question

Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway debt
Neuberger Berman
Neuberger Berman
Macro

Why Morningstar thinks the US stock market is looking cheap

And their top picks for 2024.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Amid a global slowdown, green shoots emerge

In this episode of ESG in 10, Charlotte O'Meara is joined by Gillian Jago, Senior Trader at Ardea Investment Management, to explore the dominance of Europe in...
Fidante .
Fidante
Macro

Consumer spending holds up even as real incomes slump

Households have started to tap the record excess savings buffers built up during COVID, offsetting the impact of falling real income.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Where the best bargains in stocks can be found

Plus, why you should listen to sell-side analysts from time to time.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Australia left interest rates unchanged at 4.35%, US ISM services PMI soared to 52.7

Weekly Update | 8th December, 2023
SCG
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

The oil markets are starting to price in a Trump Presidency, even if the media are in denial

Media Commentators are currently behaving like the three wise monkeys with regards to Donald Trump; they don’t want to hear what he is saying, watch his rallies or...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

Why 2024 might see you get a pay rise in real terms

Falling inflation could have some unexpected benefits according to ANZ Senior Economist Adelaide Timbrell.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Flat consumer spending & strong unit labour costs

Spending was held down by direct government cost-of-living subsidies in Q3, while unit labour costs continue to grow strongly.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Is Australia set for a soft or hard landing in 2024?

The RBA has granted a festive reprieve for mortgage holders, keeping interest rates on hold in line with expectations after inflation continued to slow. The year 2023...
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

The signals that central banks are watching now

Our economist looks at evolving data trends to assess growth, employment, inflation and hence policy action.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

How do recessions really affect asset returns?

The answer may not be as bad as you might think, even if the recession drags on.
Jonathan Kearns
Challenger
Macro

Getting Fed up with rate hikes?

In this piece, we look at three reasons why the Fed is done - and three reasons why the Fed may not be done.
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Indebted companies and the rate-pause consensus

This week’s edition begins with an assessment of global futures markets, indicating that the “rate pause” is assumed around the world.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Nov. 2023 Podcasts: Australia-China uneasy partnership, end for value investing

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

New Zealand held interest rates steady at 5.5%, US preliminary GDP soared 5.2% q/q

Weekly Update | 1st December, 2023
GMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Why are interest rates still rising in Australia?

While markets have coalesced behind the view that rates will stay higher for longer, the consensus expectation for central banks in major economies such as the Fed,...
Sinéad Rafferty
Fidante
Macro

When will bad news be bad news?

Recently good news has been bad news. Why is this, and are we about to enter into a new cycle where good news becomes good news again?
John Bilsel
Innova Asset Management
Macro

Should we expect continued softness in retail sales?

A broader economic slowdown might still be necessary to convince the RBA that its policies are sufficiently restrictive.
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
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