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Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Latest: Macro

Macro

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In recent months, the chart shown in Figure 1., has been doing the rounds, inspiring fear among some observers that a stock market crash is imminent. Figure 1....
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

BoE likely on hold in another split decision

The BoE should keep rates steady, but some policymakers will likely vote again to raise rates given high inflation and inflation risks.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Behind lithium's price swing: what the supply chain is actually signalling

Lithium prices spiked then turned volatile. The drivers behind both moves are more structural than the market is currently pricing.
Emanuel Datt
Datt Capital
Shares

“Easy asset gains are over” – expect a tougher year for the Australian economy

AMP economist My Bui explains whether the RBA will hike next week and what a tougher economy could mean for investors.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is the data arms race over?

In the data arms race of investing, judgement has never been so important.
Michael Skinner
Blackwattle Investment Partners
Macro

Clearing the path for a September hike

The August headline CPI reading was in line with expectations, and kept the annual figure steady at 3.4%. The larger surprise, however, was the hotter-than-expected...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Shares

The Fed looks like it’s going to hike – implications for investors and Australia

The Fed is set to hike this week for the first time since 2023. The bull market usually survives the first move - but it won't be smooth.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

These asset classes are back on the map

The old divide between developed and emerging markets is obscuring where top-tier investing opportunities now reside.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

A green light for the Fed to raise rates

The latest CPI has given the Fed a green light to raise rates and more rate rises are still likely.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The ECB hikes by 25bp, with more to come

The ECB could raise rates to 3% or more given upside risks to persistent above-target inflation and a higher neutral policy rate.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Volatility before opportunity

Market weakness may create opportunities to add risk ahead of a potential rally later in Q4 2026.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

The super cycle bear market in bonds and the return of “bond vigilantes”

Bond yields are likely now in a super cycle rising trend with big implications for investors.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Property

The ‘mother of all housing corrections’? Chris Joye on property, rates and where he’d invest $100,000

Australia’s housing downturn could become the worst in memory. Chris Joye explains why - and where he's investing right now.
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Markets

Small caps and 4 other themes VanEck thinks you should watch

Small caps, gold, copper, office REITs and a softening consumer. VanEck on the themes that defined the August reporting season.
Keith Ford
Livewire Markets
Macro

The RBNZ hikes rates again, with more to come

The RBNZ has continued to raise rates given average core inflation has been stuck above the 2% target.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The ECB is on track to raise rates next week

Core inflation in the euro area has been stuck at about 2½%, above the ECB's 2% target.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Can Bessent really control U.S. bond yields?

Treasury buybacks face structural limits as Scott Bessent battles sticky inflation, robust economic growth, and market realities.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Treasury buybacks meet a structural headwind

Treasury buybacks may support market functioning, but they are unlikely to reverse the underlying upward pressure on yields.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Jackson Hole 2026: Discipline, not decisions

Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair to outline a policy framework rather than signal an imminent rate decision. The central message...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

The RBA to narrowly vote to hike rates in September given high inflation

Still-high underlying inflation has picked up and is running above the RBA's forecast profile.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Markets

Hyperion’s bullish case for the long-term economics of AI

Humanoids, autonomous vehicles and inference at scale. Why Hyperion thinks the AI revenue opportunity outweighs the capex explosion.
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Keith Ford
Livewire Markets
Macro

Rising Treasury yields: Why buybacks won’t fix a term premium problem

Investors are becoming increasingly concerned about the risks of owning long-term government bonds.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Australia’s data centre boom (the counterview)

We believe most of the enthusiasm on the looming data centre boom in Australia is vastly overstated.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Markets

Why Ray Dalio is backing gold and Bitcoin to hedge against the debt crisis

Ray Dalio says the US is at a debt inflection point. Gold and "a bit of Bitcoin" are how he thinks investors should play it.
Keith Ford
Livewire Markets
Markets

The US is borrowing $2 trillion a year. The bond market is done pretending that’s fine

Schroders' Kellie Wood explains why the US bond market is the hottest topic in global markets and how investors can capitalise.
Keith Ford
Livewire Markets
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