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Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Latest: Macro

Macro

There’s something about Donald (to worry about)

A follow up from last week, that highlighted two things to worry less about.
Sebastian Ferrando
Koda Capital
Macro

Don't Look Back In Anger... but do look at the numbers

How have investors fared since the last Oasis tour in 2005?
Anthony Doyle
Pinnacle Investment Management
Macro

Australia’s inflation remains a concern, but there’s still hope

After the peak of 7.8% in December 2022, Australia’s consumer inflation had been grinding downwards. However, the recent inflation result has proven to be a...
Bob Cunneen
MLC Asset Management
Macro

AI factories – are they built on Firm(us) ground?

Capital is flowing to build factories that produce tokens underpinned by huge demand. Hype or a new revolution?
Robert Miller
NAOS
Macro

About the Donald - you should worry less about these 2 things

And coming next week - 1 thing to actually worry about.
Sebastian Ferrando
Koda Capital
Macro

Code, build and repeat

Stock market returns of more than 20% are common around the world this year.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

The big RBA forecast miss on Q3 inflation

Inflation spiked in Q3, posting one of the largest ex-COVID increases in the inflation targeting era, well above the RBA's forecast.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

No data, no cry

There has been no official US economic data this month.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

“You don’t sell new highs”: Ben Griffiths on why this rally still has room to run

The head of a highly respected small-cap boutique says the two forces that usually end bull markets aren’t present threats.
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

Hot inflation puts paid to RBA rate cuts this year

A surge in inflation in Q3 points to rates on hold for the rest of thus year and a much reduced chance of a cut next year
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Are we in a bubble?

Not all bubbles are created equal, and this one might still have air left. We break down what’s real and what’s not.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Macro

The challenge of high and rising public debt

The US, UK, and France face high and rising public debt, where increased defence spending will add to the problem.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Are rate cuts good or bad for investors?

Rate cuts are back — but rich valuations mean this time may not rhyme with history.
Alastair MacLeod
Elston Asset Management
Macro

House prices, interest rates & the supply of housing

House prices have an outsized sensitivity to lower interest rates because the supply of housing is failing to keep pace with strong demand
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

A year after her 2024 shocking prediction Kellie Wood says the real crisis may still lie ahead

Kellie Wood believes the US has escaped recession for now, but debt dynamics are moving closer to a breaking point.
Stephanie Gardner
Livewire Markets
Macro

U.S. - China trade tensions: From complacency to concern

Over recent weeks, tensions between the United States and China have intensified, culminating in the U.S. threatening to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Gold is not a bubble. But unregulated retail herding is concerning

Gold's rally is being driven by tiny gyrations in the US treasury market. But unregulated coin and bar sales could spell longer-term trouble
David Tuckwell
ETF Shares
Macro

Green shoots in Australia

A weak Australian economy could take a turn for the better and drive better business growth.
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

Stock market looks expensive? Blame the giants

Global markets look expensive—but it’s mostly the biggest companies driving that. The rest of the market is priced closer to normal.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

JP Morgan Asset Management’s take on growth, risk and opportunity

Craig and Tanna unpack why growth is holding, rates are easing, and risk assets are still being rewarded across global markets.
Stephanie Gardner
Livewire Markets
Macro

How should investors navigate stimulus, volatility & shifting fundamentals?

Tim Toohey explores the paradox of booming equity markets amid the turbulence and shares a cautiously optimistic view on Australia’s growth.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

“Wall Street hammered!” What now?

Panic gripped the market over the weekend. But we’ve seen this movie before, and we don’t need to worry about how it ends.
Andrew Legget
Livewire Markets
Macro

Forget trade tariffs…

This is what Global Trade will Look Like in 10 years
Edward Heng
India Avenue Investment Management
Macro

US tariffs, global trade & disinflation in the rest of the world

A more insular US economy is affecting world trade, but there is no sign yet that it is mildly disinflationary for the rest of the world.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Bubble trouble – is AI enthusiasm driving a bubble in shares?

Bubble fears are back. As AI stocks soar and valuations stretch, Shane Oliver weighs what’s hype, what’s real, and what investors should do.
Shane Oliver
AMP
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