Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Japan has awoken and more things are going to get broken

5% short rates in the US are sucking global capital into the US and more things are going to get broken.
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

How to invest in a market full of confusing signals

Is this the start of a "financial accident" or a healthy, garden variety pullback? We aim to find out.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is it really 1987 all over again?

Market participants are making a lot of comparisons to 1987. But a lot has changed since those dark days.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Non-farm payrolls may show only modest softening in the US job market

Our economist models healthy US employment print using Indicio.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Cash flows and the effectiveness of monetary policy

Higher interest rates have the same estimated effect on inflation in Australia, the euro area, and the USA.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Hacked! Cybersecurity stocks fight back

At face value, the odds of being hacked are much higher than a few years ago. What are the risks, and where are the returns for investors?
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

What happens to global share markets if interest rates stay higher for longer?

Sticky inflation may force central banks to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period after they stop hiking. Investors should consider how this will impact...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

What’s driving higher bond yields?

September was a tough month for the fixed-rate bond market, but on the flip side, credit yields surged higher. In this month’s episode of The Rate Debate, I am joined...
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Falling commercial real estate prices

Commercial property prices have fallen sharply in the US and Europe
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

5 things you need to know about the RBA's October interest rate decision

The RBA announced a hold on interest rates for October, but don’t get too comfortable yet.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Latest PCE inflation data doesn't support another US rate hike

With the latest PCE inflation data showing deepening disinflation amidst falling lending growth & M2, data doesn't support another rate hike
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
Macro

Major stock indexes breaking down

Only 40 stocks in the ASX 200 ended in the green last month. Markets are blaming rising bond yields. So where do things stand?
Kiryll Prakapenka
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

The hawkish Fed pause, Chinese exports and sluggish Germany

This week’s charts begin with an examination of why the Federal Reserve’s latest move is being dubbed a “hawkish pause.”
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Australian CPI rose 5.2% y/y, US final GDP grew 2.1% q/q

Weekly Update | 29th September 2023
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Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Tightening the screw on households, income extravaganza, recession-tested sectors

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Valuing bank equities versus bank bonds

CCI has constructed measures of the value of bank equities relative to bank bonds.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Forecasting inflation on both sides of the Atlantic

Our economist constructs an Indicio model which shows sticky price increases in the short term.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Why high yield brings too high a risk for this asset class

The looming default cycle threatens private credit.
Phil Strano
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

China: the re-opening trade that never quite was

Why China’s re-opening has proven to be more fizzle than fireworks.
Sarah Shaw
4D Infrastructure
Macro

Do we need a hybrid revolution?

Listen to our latest episode of the Complexity Premia podcast on whether we need a hybrid revolution and much, much more...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Expert Insights

The top performing tech stocks that may be the biggest risk in markets today

Market returns have been dominated by the tech sector, and Atrium's Brendan Paul believes this concentration risk is an opportunity.
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Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

5 things you need to know about El Nino and what it means for investments

Climate patterns may have more meaning for inflation and investing than you initially expect.
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Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Charts of the Week - Our 100th edition, historical Fed hiking trends, German industrials and declining Indian FDI

Charts of the Week has reached its 100th edition and this milestone has given us a chance to reflect on where it all began.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Livewire Live

Are we in a new bull market or is the "super bubble" still deflating

Jeremy Grantham updates us on his 2022 warning about the "super bubble" created by low interest rates and monetary stimulus
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

US Federal Reserve held rates at 5.5%, Canadian median CPI y/y rose 4.1%

Weekly Update | 23rd September 2023
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
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