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Market Wraps
cash rate
Latest news and analysis on cash rate
Macro
June 24, 2022 09:37
1 in 10 chance Jerome Powell can salvage a soft landing
Rate hikes are an exceptionally blunt, roundabout way to kill today's inflation. US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell acknowledged as much in his address to...
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
June 24, 2022 09:37
Macro
June 17, 2022 08:42
RBA model points to a house price slump of around 30%
A key finding from the RBA’s Saunders-Tulip model of the housing market that we have emphasised in judging the outlook for house prices is the extreme sensitivity of...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 17, 2022 08:42
Macro
May 03, 2022 11:55
A difficult balancing act as the RBA starts raising rates
With the RBA about to start raising rates for the first time since 2010, it will be trying to manage a challenging economic mix of very low unemployment and high...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 03, 2022 11:55
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Macro
January 26, 2022 14:05
It was clear the RBA needed to raise rates this year before the inflation data...
The RBA should continue to wind back the policy stimulus delivered during the pandemic when it meets next month. The RBA will stop buying government bonds and there is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
January 26, 2022 14:05
Macro
January 21, 2022 07:05
4.2% unemployment points to rate hikes in 2022
The lowest unemployment rate in years raises the risk that the RBA not only stops buying bonds next month (which is now widely expected by market participants) but...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
January 21, 2022 07:05
Macro
November 19, 2021 12:45
Only one industry currently meets the RBA's wage test for rate rises
An analysis of the industry split of wages shows why the RBA is sceptical that wages can accelerate fast enough to justify market expectations of rate hikes next year....
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
November 19, 2021 12:45
Macro
May 19, 2021 10:52
Where is the natural rate of unemployment?
The Reserve Bank of Australia is committed to keeping easy monetary policy in place until it meets its ambitious goal of achieving full employment. By our...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 19, 2021 10:52
Macro
March 11, 2021 09:17
RBA opens door to jobless rate in the 3s
RBA Governor Lowe delivered a very important speech yesterday on “The recovery, investment and monetary policy” at the AFR's business review conference. Arguably the...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
March 11, 2021 09:17
Macro
February 08, 2021 14:00
Bubble, bubble toil and no trouble!
There are a number of arguments being advanced to suggest the stock market is in a gigantic bubble that is at risk of bursting imminently. Some of the arguments relate...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
February 08, 2021 14:00
Fixed Income
July 21, 2020 18:40
Insight: RBA Open to Lowering 3-Yr Yield Target to 0.10%
By Sophia Rodrigues For the first time since announcing the package of measures on March 19, the Reserve Bank of Australia has opened up the possibility of lowering...
Sophia Rodrigues
Central Bank Intel
July 21, 2020 18:40
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