ECONOMIC CYCLE

Understanding how markets fluctuate and how long-term cycles play out is key to success.

At Livewire Live 2025, Macquarie Capital's Viktor Shvets put a torch to conventional thinking about markets and economic moats.

Not all credit leads to the creation of value by the borrower. While lending is often seen as an engine of economic activity, the purpose behind a loan matters more...

We look at data, the economic cycle, and outlooks from fund managers and research houses in an attempt to answer that question.

Sometimes it seems the economics profession operates in a parallel universe.

Global share markets are always driven by both structural change and the economic cycle to some degree. It is the weighting of the two drivers that varies over time....

The neutral rate of interest appears to be rising as households spend more and save less, while business investment levels rise. This will impact borrowing costs,...

In December, the ‘Value trade’ continued to do well as the US Federal Reserve made the environment for the style more conducive by signalling inflation concerns and...

Momentum in global growth has unexpectedly softened in recent months. Persistent supply chain disruptions are hampering production, slowing spending and delaying...

For the first time in over a decade, a new economic cycle may be underway – a ‘reflation’ cycle characterised by faster economic growth, higher inflation and ongoing...