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Macro
Sean Callow

It has been a huge week for central banks around the world and almost all of them are leaning towards lower interest rates.On Tuesday, markets were very surprised by ECB president Draghi’s declaration that additional stimulus will be required unless there is improvement in risks such as geopolitical factors, the... Show More

Macro
Chad Slater

There was a brief period when “Faded (Where are we now)” topped the charts recently and we thought it would be an apt title for this week’s blog. Late last year, our Head of Macro and Risk did an excellent piece looking at how markets behave once the Federal Reserve goes... Show More

Macro
Sean Callow

This week the Aussie weakened a little against most major currencies but has held up against the US dollar. This is a decent performance given that it had to absorb the RBA’s first rate cut since 2016 and Australia’s very poor GDP data. On Tuesday the RBA cut its cash... Show More

Expert Insights

The world has witnessed ultra-easy conventional and unconventional monetary policy since the GFC, but three years ago it reached a point where that policy gradually needed to be removed. But this reversal, which had managed to elevate prices across a whole range of asset classes, became too much for markets... Show More

Macro
Callum Thomas

Here's some of the standout charts on my radar. I aim to pick a good mix of charts covering key global macro trends, and ones which highlight risks and opportunities across asset classes. Hope you enjoy them as much as I do.1. China PMIs: We just got the China April... Show More

Macro
Brett Gillespie

The year is 1991. I’m trading Australian interest rates on the proprietary desk for Bankers Trust. The desk is headed by Richard Farleigh. And the quarterly CPI number is about to be released. In those days, there was 3 opportunities to “trade” a CPI number. First our economist, Andre Morony,... Show More

Christopher Joye

In the latest Compexity Premia podcast we cover recent Livewire articles and: debate whether the RBA is going to blow the housing bubble back up with interest rate cuts; discuss new RBA research that blames the central bank for the rapid house price growth between 2012-2017 (contrary to what the... Show More

Brett Gillespie

How good are you at reading people? How about a large frightened animal? It’s an interesting question, in today’s tech driven social world, to consider the skill of “reading” the situation. Is it being lost? Does it matter? Hold that thought, and consider the following. You are asked to step... Show More