Hybrids

Christopher Joye

Today I show how ScoMo has already delivered a $7bn plus budget surplus on a number of the key measures years in advance of what rating agencies and analysts (save yours truly) expected, which is the best budget outcome since 2008. I then present the evidence I used to demolish... Show More

Christopher Joye

Notwithstanding the franking debate last year, ASX hybrids were the second-best performing asset-class behind long-dated government bonds in 2018 with an attractive 4.9% gross return, smashing the AusBond Floating-Rate Note Index (2.3%) and the Aussie equities market including dividends (down -3.5%). Show More

Macro
Christopher Joye

In my column today I argue that to have any hope of divining the prospects for 2019, one has to first solve the Rubik’s Cube that was 2018 in which the most overvalued asset-class on the planet, government bonds, reigned as king—trumping cash—despite this column’s contrarian forecast of four Fed... Show More

Christopher Joye

Here I argue that anyone who tells you they know what's driving markets right now is lying or fooling themselves, which begets opportunity (click on that link to read the full column or AFR subs can click here). Excerpts enclosed: Show More

Christopher Joye

Today I write that it's not often you come across a major bank hybrid that is genuinely cheap, which CBA’s new Perls XI preferred equity security (ASX: CBAPH) undeniably is given an expected maturity (or “call” date) of 5.36 years (click on that link to read the full column or... Show More

Christopher Joye

I've written a column summarising our valuation views on NABHA, which are excerpted below (click on that link to read the full column or AFR subs can click here). We look at scenarios where NABHA remains perpetual and others where it is called with both converging around the $85 mark.... Show More

Christopher Joye

Today I bust a bunch of big myths relevant to the current price action: specifically, I show why bonds are, contrary to popular belief, a terrible equities hedge (the oft-mooted negative correlation is incredibly unreliable and often positive); why the popular low-rates-for-long meme is completely bogus; why you should not... Show More

Christopher Joye

Today I explain how ScoMo (and Turnbull) saved Australia's AAA rating, and in the process also saved borrowers from a certain 10bps per annum rate hike worth over $10,400 over the life of a typical home loan. Last week S&P shocked the market, but not us, by upgrading Australia's AAA... Show More

Christopher Joye

In the AFR I discuss the bifurcation between equity and debt, the major banks' funding needs, NAB's unique approach to integrating trading and sales up and down the capital structure, and prospective rating changes for bank subordinated bonds and hybrids (click here to read for free or AFR subs can... Show More

Elizabeth Moran

The recent by-elections should serve as a warning to investors reliant on franking credits for income. Significant swings to Labor while the Liberals stand by corporate tax cuts, increase the chance of a Labor victory and, with it, Labor’s stated policy of removing franking credit refunds to investors who do... Show More

Elizabeth Moran

In the scramble for customers, some fund managers and superannuation providers are taking on additional risk, investing in a range of assets and deeming them ‘cash’ when clearly they are not. Show More

Christopher Joye

In my AFR column I argue that Donald Trump's "tape bombs" are the tail wagging the global financial market dog right now, and this volatility begets opportunity (click on that link to read for free or AFR subs can click here for direct access). Excerpt enclosed: Show More