interest rates

When Frederick Hayek accepted his Nobel Prize for Economics back in 1974 he noted that at the time, “Economists were being called upon to say how to extricate the free...

The RBA has a long history of getting the Aussie housing market's reactions to its cash rate changes horribly wrong, which is surprising given how easy the housing...

The RBA hikes rates by 25bps, with more set to come in 2022 as Australia’s central bank attempts to keep a grip on inflation. With oil and commodity prices set to...

US equities have fallen 14%-23% (S&P500 and NASDAQ) since we publicly revealed our bearish outlook on the market and many other correlated asset-classes, including...

Moving lower down the capital structure of higher rated corporate issuers can be a smart way to add higher returns to well diversified portfolios. In this article we...

The recent deluge of rain on the East coast of Australia had devastating impacts. While the extent of the damage was unpredictably extreme, meteorologists knew...

Russia's recent invasion of Ukraine has sent global financial markets into a tailspin. In this wire, Frame Funds Management's Hue Frame outlines what a "worst-case"...

In ‘Why elevated inflation will persist’ Pella posited that US inflation is likely to remain elevated through 2023 leading to monetary tightening during that period....

My beat at Fat Tail Investment Research is looking for beaten-up/out-of-favour ASX 200 stocks and analysing the macroeconomic environment. Having a good grip on macro...

A risk-management approach to unexpectedly high US inflation suggests that a fast return to neutral funds rate – 2½% on the Fed’s calculation or about 2% on market...

The market is projecting the Australian cash rate to rise to 1.20% by the end of the year, this implies that the RBA hikes 4.5 times on current numbers. Interestingly,...

Gold got off to a strong start this year, rallying by 5%, putting it close to all-time highs. While much of the world’s focus is (rightly) on Ukraine, history suggests...

The current state of markets could well resemble the quote attributed to American writer Mark Twain: “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” With...

After a massive 20% rally last year - one of the largest on record - Kieran Davies from Coolabah Capital doesn't see a repeat this year. In fact, with a potential 100...

With our long period of near-zero interest rates seemingly at an end, every investor’s attention turns to the balance of their portfolio. Conventional wisdom is that...

Jamieson Coote Bonds expects the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to hike by 50 basis points to begin their hiking cycle at the March FOMC meeting on March 17th...

Gareth Aird from CBA, “arguably one of the most accurate economic forecasters in recent times,” just published some new research projecting the course of interest...

Shadow policy rates on the rise: Shadow policy rates are designed to factor in the effects of quantitative easing (QE). They present a view of the effective level of...

Over the last decade, lower interest rates have failed spectacularly in moving inflation. This brings into question the same approach for the years ahead, where...

National dwelling values have risen 34% since the RBA started lowering its cash rate from 1.5% in June 2019 to 0.1% today. But what cheap money giveth, expensive money...