market timing

Not even AI can win it – just as hardly anybody can profitably “tip” football or beat casinos. Random fluctuation fools almost everybody.

How time is an investor’s biggest advantage.

Some mocked his decision to go 100% cash. Now Marcus Padley wants one irresistible signal before buying - here’s what’s on his watchlist.

Over very long intervals, short-term random fluctuations (“noise”) cancel one another – and ever clearer and steadier signals emerge.

Traders believe they can foresee short-term price movements. They’ve been fooled by randomness. That’s why they lose – and investors win.

Maybe we've passed the bottom, maybe not, but here's an example of what it might look like if you start buying.

The next stock market crash and bear market may have already started. This is how you can tell, and therefore protect your portfolio.

The iron ore price dived and surged in just a few weeks, as did prices of ASX iron ore miners. What usually happens in the last quarter?

October gets a bad wrap due to the fact several major crashes occurred during the month, but it’s usually a good period for Aussie shares.

Stocks are sagging on recession fears, big trades gone wrong, and war. Can past crashes help us predict if the next crash is about to occur?