market timing

Over very long intervals, short-term random fluctuations (“noise”) cancel one another – and ever clearer and steadier signals emerge.

Traders believe they can foresee short-term price movements. They’ve been fooled by randomness. That’s why they lose – and investors win.

Maybe we've passed the bottom, maybe not, but here's an example of what it might look like if you start buying.

The next stock market crash and bear market may have already started. This is how you can tell, and therefore protect your portfolio.

The iron ore price dived and surged in just a few weeks, as did prices of ASX iron ore miners. What usually happens in the last quarter?

October gets a bad wrap due to the fact several major crashes occurred during the month, but it’s usually a good period for Aussie shares.

Stocks are sagging on recession fears, big trades gone wrong, and war. Can past crashes help us predict if the next crash is about to occur?

September has traditionally been the worst month for shares, but what is the Australian experience? Sell, or stay, in September?

How value signals (and relative value) work in the case of global equities

What does it tell us When Investors Hate Defensive Stocks?

No matter how experienced an investor you are, the decision of when to invest money can naturally provoke a feeling of uncertainty or apprehension. Are shares too...

The power of compounding

2022 began with global stock markets around record levels, leaving many investors primed to sell equities. However, timing the market is more likely to reduce your...

As the calendar flips over to December, attention naturally shifts to the year ahead. As you work your way through Christmas parties, presents, and an overdue...

Anyone who's been around markets for a while will have heard the adage that "it's not timing the market, but time in the market, implying that market timing is...

As 2020 nears an end, investors face a challenging combination of crosscurrents. On the positive side, the US election has passed with a market-friendly outcome and...

Surely few topics have had more column inches dedicated to them than discussions around predicting market peaks and troughs. This has become evident...

The most common question investors are asking me today is, “Is now the time to go to cash?” Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity. This is the reality equity...

For as long as there have been markets, there have been people looking for ways to gain an advantage. From scams and fraud in under-regulated markets before the...