We were the first to publicly canvass the near-term possibility of Aussie QE (actually, it was one our investors who encouraged us to dig into this), and an increasingly intense debate on the subject has since been unleashed with CBA publishing no less than 3 reports on QE within about... Show More
Today I explain why ANZ was nuts not to fully cut its lending rates in May; why it will be even harder for all banks to pass along the next RBA cut, which could come in July or August; why the cash-flow impact of rate cuts could actually be negative;... Show More
Someone (maybe it was Albert Einstein) once opined that: “Insanity Is Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Again and Expecting Different Results” Show More
A good chart distils terabytes of data into a small image that delivers a big message. And to cherry-pick the messages investors need to hear most right now, we asked some of Australia’s top managers to nominate one chart above all others. Mik Case from Schroders and Chris Rands at... Show More
In December last year, I wrote an article entitled “Nothing Terribly Wrong” talking about the market fears being overdone. At the time the ASX 200 was down 12% from the top. In hindsight, a marvellous thing, I wrote it ten days before the market bottomed. The markets have bounced. Let... Show More
Who said “Let them eat cake”? Most will answer Marie Antoinette. The Storming of the Bastille on the 14th July, 1789 marked the beginning of a French Revolution that was to last 10 years, overthrow the monarchy and replace it with a Republic, only to then see a military coup... Show More
After a favorable “risk on” year that brought numerous new highs to many stock market indices worldwide without significant drawdowns, investors have perhaps become lulled into a state of complacency and security around their investment portfolio allocations. Show More
As the era of QE draws to a close, central bankers face a conundrum: Nearly a decade of money printing has suppressed volatility… So, as QE is withdrawn, is volatility inevitable?Vimal Gor, Head of Income and Fixed Interest at BT, argues that the market has a bumpy ride ahead. Volatility,... Show More
When we look back upon the financial excess prior to the GFC, the great bust and near financial Armageddon, the multiple bouts of global quantitative easing transferring private debt to governments thereafter, it will make a historic story for the grandchildren. Boom to bust to boom again within a decade,... Show More
The Fed is clearly well out in front in reducing monetary policy stimulus. Its stance was demonstrated again in June as the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) increased the Federal Funds Rate by 25bp. As a result, the target rate rose to 1.00- 1.25%, while the Committee noted that the... Show More
